Tenki AI is a research assistance tool designed for prediction market traders, mainly serving users who trade on Kalshi and Polymarket. By continuously scanning covered markets, it looks for contracts where there is a deviation between price and the supported evidence, and on that basis provides curated selections backed by research.
Main capabilities
- Continuous market scanning: tracks thousands of covered markets on Kalshi and Polymarket around the clock, refreshing as prices change.
- Identifying price deviations: the AI compares the market's current trading price with the value supported by the underlying evidence, and when there is a clear deviation between the two, that market is flagged for further research.
- Providing 3-7 research selections daily: each selection includes market information, the evidence, the perceived spread, and the conditions that would need to be met if the judgment is wrong.
- Including a verifiable chain of reasoning: each selection shows the evidence and reasoning, and users can verify, question, or further expand the research themselves.
- Public record: each selection is settled and recorded, whether correct or incorrect, so users can assess the quality of the research over time.
How to use
Tenki AI is not yet officially open. Users can join the waitlist through the official website to receive first access at launch and a two-week free trial. Users do not need to provide credit card information now.
The workflow is: users receive a list containing 3-7 selections each day, and each selection shows the market, the evidence, the perceived spread, and the conditions that could overturn that judgment. Users decide for themselves on Kalshi or Polymarket whether to trade and how much to trade. Tenki AI does not execute trades and does not act as a broker.
Use cases
- Part-time traders: those who do not have a lot of time to manually dig for mispriced markets and want to directly get a screened starting point for research.
- Traders who frequently use Polymarket and Kalshi: those who want a second opinion and the research basis behind it before increasing position size.
- Data-oriented users who like to verify: those who do not want to use a black-box tool and want every recommendation to include evidence and reasoning that they can track and verify themselves.
- Curious but cautious beginners: those who do not want to take on excessive risk and want to start from a short, research-backed list rather than facing a huge number of markets.
Limitations
- Tenki AI does not execute trades, does not provide trade size recommendations, and does not guarantee results. It only provides research and analysis to help users make their own judgments.
- Markets themselves are uncertain, and no tool can promise profits.
- Users need to confirm for themselves the legality of prediction markets in their region and only invest funds they can afford to lose.
- The product is not yet launched, and features are subject to the launch version.
