SuperAPI AI Directory

boar-strategy

Writing & research

View repository

Updated 10-16 08:46

About this skill

🥇 BOAR v1.0 — Hard Money vs Paper (the debasement bet)

Boar bets on fiscal dominance / currency debasement: as deficits compound and the term premium rises, scarce real assets (gold, BTC, silver) outperform fiat-denominated financial claims. It expresses that as a long/short:

  • LONG hard money — GOLD, BTC (digital gold), SILVER, PLATINUM, PALLADIUM.
  • SHORT paper — SP500 (broad financial-beta) + rate-sensitive long-duration growth RIVN / DKNG / HIMS (the claims discounted hardest as rates rise).

The P&L is the real-assets-beat-paper-claims spread. One producer (boar-producer.py) serves both books; BOAR_LEG selects.

Book Holds Wallet env Runtime Scanner
long hard money (LONG) BOAR_LONG_WALLET runtime-long.yaml boar_long_signals
short SP500 + rate-sensitive growth (SHORT) BOAR_SHORT_WALLET runtime-short.yaml boar_short_signals

⚠️ The honest caveat — this is the loosest hedge of the family

In a pure liquidity melt-up, everything priced in debasing fiat rises — gold AND stocks — so the long and short legs can correlate positively and the hedge underperforms. To tighten it, the short tilts toward rate-sensitive long-duration growth (RIVN/DKNG/HIMS), which underperforms even in a melt-up because a rising term premium compresses far-future cash-flow multiples. But the hedge is imperfect: Boar works best in a "real assets outperform" regime, not a blow-off. The DSL owns the drawdowns. Size this fund accordingly.

The thesis, asset by asset

Sleeve Direction Names Rationale
Monetary metals LONG GOLD (1.2×), SILVER (1.0×), PLATINUM (0.7×), PALLADIUM (0.6×) scarce real stores of value
Digital gold LONG BTC (1.2×) the hardest money — co-core with gold
Broad paper SHORT SP500 (1.2×) the broad financial-claims anchor
Rate-sensitive paper SHORT RIVN, DKNG, HIMS (0.6×) long-duration growth — hit hardest by a rising term premium (squeeze-prone, small)

How it picks (producer-side)

  1. Curated universe + a relative-to-market liquidity gate (24h vol ≥ volFloorPctOfMedian × the universe median — no $ floor).
  2. ABSOLUTE trend is the gate — long hard money only while its 4h is not bearish; short paper only while its 4h is not bullish (+ capitulation guard).
  3. Relative strength is a tiebreaker; conviction sizing via sizingWeights. No $.

The long/short balance is YOUR dial

The split is the operator's funding across the two wallets (config _hedge_note) — not hardcoded. Default a net-long-hard-money tilt (hard-money 4 slots / 18% / 5x; paper 4 slots / 15% / 4x). Fund 50/50 for a tighter (still imperfect) hedge.

Fleet-standard rules (enforced)

  • Max leverage 5x hard-money / 4x paper; per-position margin ≤ 18% / 15% (× weight).
  • Drawdown halt 20% / 18%, reset_on_day_rollover.
  • Mandatory DSL; entries + exits FEE_OPTIMIZED_LIMIT with taker fallback.
  • Verbose per-tick JSON; sizes off max(main, xyz) account value.
  • Paper book runs tighter (lower leverage, tighter max-loss, faster stall-cuts); the rate-sensitive growth shorts are small + squeeze-prone, gated hard.

Hard rule — user-conversation sessions are READ-ONLY

A Claude session conversing with a user MUST NOT call create_position, close_position, edit_position, ratchet_stop_*, cancel_order, or any strategy_close* tool against Boar's wallets. Entries are emitted only by the producer daemon; exits are owned only by the runtime DSL.

v1.0 — initial build

A Lion-family two-book long/short pointed at the debasement macro divergence. The loosest-hedged member of the family (documented honestly) — the short's rate-sensitive tilt is the lever that tightens an inherently melt-up-correlated pair. Best deployed as a tilt, not a market-neutral bet.