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restructuring

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Updated 10-15 23:43

About this skill

Corporate Restructuring & Turnaround

Required Inputs

  • Company Overview: Name, industry, revenue, headcount, and corporate structure.
  • Nature of Distress: Liquidity crisis, overleveraged balance sheet, operational underperformance, or combination.
  • Urgency Level: Weeks of cash remaining (critical if <8 weeks); upcoming debt maturities or covenant test dates.
  • Capital Structure: All debt tranches (senior secured, unsecured, mezzanine, convertibles), equity, and intercompany obligations.
  • Key Stakeholders: Identity of major creditors, equity holders, management team, key customers, and key suppliers.

Execution Steps

1. Triage Assessment

Before anything else, determine the severity and time horizon:

Indicator Green (Stable) Amber (Stressed) Red (Distressed) Score
Cash runway >6 months 3-6 months <3 months
Debt maturity >12 months 6-12 months <6 months
Covenant compliance In compliance Waiver needed this quarter Already in breach
EBITDA trend Growing Flat or declining <10% Declining >10% YoY
Customer concentration Top 5 <30% revenue Top 5 = 30-50% revenue Top 5 >50% revenue
Supplier risk All stable 1-2 at risk Key supplier threatening COD/termination
Management capacity Strong team Gaps in key roles CEO/CFO departure or capability gap
Stakeholder alignment Aligned Some tension Active creditor conflict

Scoring: Green=1, Amber=2, Red=3. Total score 8-12 = Stressed (proactive restructuring). 13-18 = Distressed (urgent restructuring). 19-24 = Critical (immediate intervention, formal proceedings likely).

2. 13-Week Cash Flow Model

The 13-week cash flow (TWCF) is the foundational tool for any restructuring. It tracks weekly liquidity on a receipts-and-disbursements basis.

Model Structure

Line Item Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 ... Week 13 Total
Opening cash balance
Receipts
Customer collections
Other receipts
Total receipts
Disbursements
Payroll and benefits
Rent and occupancy
Raw materials / COGS
Utilities
Insurance
Professional fees
Tax payments
Interest payments
Debt amortization
CapEx (critical only)
Other disbursements
Total disbursements
Net cash flow
Closing cash balance
Revolver availability
Total liquidity
Minimum cash threshold
Liquidity surplus / (deficit)

Critical rules for the 13-week model:

  • Cash basis only (when cash moves, not when revenue is recognized).
  • Weekly granularity (not monthly; weekly matters in distress).
  • Bottom-up build from AP aging, AR aging, payroll register, and committed payments.
  • Identify the liquidity trough (lowest point) and the week it occurs.
  • Model a stress case (10-20% haircut on collections, acceleration of payables).

Use the financial-modeling skill for detailed projection model construction when extending beyond 13 weeks.

3. Stakeholder Mapping

Map every stakeholder by their economic interest and leverage:

Stakeholder Claim ($M) Priority Security Leverage Current Posture Strategy
Senior secured lender(s) 1st priority [Collateral description] High (can enforce) [Supportive/Neutral/Hostile] [Approach]
Second lien / mezzanine 2nd priority [Collateral description] Medium
Unsecured creditors General unsecured None Low individually; high collectively
Bondholders Per indenture Per indenture Depends on indenture trustee
Trade creditors (key) General unsecured None Operational leverage (supply disruption)
Pension fund / employees Priority per jurisdiction Statutory Regulatory and political
Equity holders Residual None Low in distress; Board control
Management team N/A N/A Operational knowledge
Key customers N/A N/A Revenue concentration

Fulcrum Security Analysis

Identify the fulcrum security (the most senior class of capital that is impaired):

Enterprise Value (going concern)   = $[X]M
Less: Senior secured debt          = ($[A]M)  --> Fully covered? [Y/N]
Remaining value for junior claims  = $[B]M
Less: Second lien / mezzanine      = ($[C]M)  --> Fully covered? [Y/N]
Remaining value for unsecured      = $[D]M
Less: Unsecured claims             = ($[E]M)  --> Recovery = [D/E x 100]%
Equity value                       = $[F]M    --> (often $0 in distress)

The fulcrum security holder has the most influence in restructuring negotiations.

4. Restructuring Options Analysis

Evaluate each option systematically:

Option Description Pros Cons Best When
Operational restructuring Cost reduction, revenue improvement, working capital optimization Preserves enterprise; no creditor impairment Slow; may be insufficient if leverage is the problem Operational underperformance with manageable debt
Out-of-court financial restructuring Consensual debt renegotiation (amend & extend, covenant relief, debt-for-equity swap) Faster; lower cost; less stigma; management retains control Requires unanimous or supermajority creditor consent; holdout risk Limited number of creditor groups; alignment achievable
Pre-packaged bankruptcy Agreement reached pre-filing; Chapter 11 for confirmation only Speed of out-of-court + binding on all via court Filing stigma; customer/supplier disruption risk Complex capital structure but deal achievable pre-filing
Chapter 11 / Administration Court-supervised restructuring with automatic stay Binds all creditors; DIP financing available; contract rejection Expensive; slow; management may lose control; value destruction Hostile creditors; complex multi-party negotiation; need for automatic stay
363 Sale Asset sale under bankruptcy court supervision Clean break; highest value to secured creditors Operating business may lose value in process Liquidating value > going-concern under current ownership
Liquidation (Chapter 7) Orderly wind-down and asset disposition Defined end point Maximum value destruction; job losses Going-concern value < liquidation value

Option Scoring

Criterion (weight) Operational Restructuring Out-of-Court Pre-Pack Chapter 11 363 Sale Liquidation
Value preservation (25%)
Speed to resolution (20%)
Stakeholder support (20%)
Cost of process (15%)
Business continuity risk (10%)
Management control (10%)
Weighted total

Score each 1-5. Recommend the highest-scoring option with contingency plans.

5. Viability Assessment Framework

Determine if the business is viable as a going concern:

Viability Test Assessment Evidence
Core business profitability Is the core business EBITDA-positive (excluding distress costs)? Adjusted EBITDA analysis stripping out restructuring charges, non-recurring items
Market position Does the company have a defensible market position? Market share, competitive moats, customer switching costs
Cash flow generation Can the business generate positive operating cash flow post-restructuring? Projected UFCF under restructured cost base
Capital structure sustainability Can a restructured balance sheet support the business? Debt / EBITDA <4x post-restructuring; interest coverage >2x
Management capability Is the management team capable of executing the turnaround? Track record, gaps, need for CRO or interim management
Stakeholder support Will key stakeholders (creditors, customers, employees) support the plan? Creditor discussions, customer retention indicators, employee sentiment

Conclusion: Viable / Conditionally viable (with specific changes) / Not viable as going concern.

If not viable as a going concern, proceed directly to liquidation analysis.

6. Going-Concern vs. Liquidation Analysis

Asset / Value Component Going-Concern Value Orderly Liquidation Value Forced Liquidation Value
Enterprise value (DCF or multiple-based) $___M N/A N/A
Real estate / facilities [Included in EV] $___M (appraised) $___M (distressed sale)
Equipment and machinery [Included in EV] $___M (auction value) $___M (scrap value)
Inventory [Included in EV] $___M (50-80% of book) $___M (20-40% of book)
Accounts receivable [Included in EV] $___M (80-90% of book) $___M (60-75% of book)
Intellectual property [Included in EV] $___M (if separable) $___M (if any)
Goodwill / workforce [Included in EV] $0 $0
Total value $___M $___M $___M
Less: Priority claims (admin, DIP, wages) ($___M) ($___M) ($___M)
Less: Secured claims ($___M) ($___M) ($___M)
Less: Wind-down costs N/A ($___M) ($___M)
Available for unsecured creditors $___M $___M $___M
Unsecured recovery rate ___% ___% ___%

Decision rule: If going-concern value > orderly liquidation value, restructuring is justified. Present this analysis to creditors to build support for the restructuring plan.

7. Creditor Negotiation Strategy

Negotiation Element Strategy Rationale
Forbearance agreement Request [X]-month standstill on enforcement while plan is developed Buys time; prevents value-destructive acceleration
DIP / new money Seek $[X]M DIP facility from [existing lenders / new source] Fund operations during restructuring; priming lien if in Chapter 11
Amend and extend Extend maturities by [X] years; reduce amortization Matches debt service to cash flow capacity
Covenant relief Waive [specific covenants] for [X] quarters; reset at [new levels] Avoids technical default while business stabilizes
Debt-for-equity swap Convert $[X]M of [tranche] to equity at [X]% ownership Reduces leverage; aligns creditors with recovery
Haircut / write-down Reduce principal by [X]% on [tranche] Only when liquidation analysis proves impairment
Interest reduction Reduce cash interest; PIK toggle for [X] quarters Preserves cash for operations
Asset sales Sell non-core assets to repay $[X]M of secured debt Reduces debt; demonstrates good faith

Key principle: The restructuring plan must leave every creditor class at least as well off as in liquidation (the "best interests" test in Chapter 11).

8. Operational Improvement Quick-Wins

Immediate actions to stabilize and improve cash flow:

30-Day Quick-Wins (Emergency Cash Preservation)

Action Expected Cash Impact ($M) Implementation Effort Owner
Freeze all discretionary spending $___M saved Low CFO
Halt non-critical CapEx $___M saved Low COO
Accelerate AR collections (call past-dues, offer discounts for early payment) $___M accelerated Medium Treasury
Extend AP (negotiate 30-day extensions with non-critical suppliers) $___M deferred Medium Procurement
Reduce inventory (halt new orders, liquidate excess) $___M freed Medium Supply Chain
Implement weekly cash reporting (13-week model) Visibility Low CFO
Renegotiate or terminate non-essential contracts $___M saved Medium Legal

60-Day Quick-Wins (Cost Structure)

Action Expected Annual Savings ($M) Implementation Effort Owner
Headcount reduction (eliminate redundant roles, contractors first) $___M High CHRO
Facility consolidation (close underutilized sites) $___M Medium COO
Procurement renegotiation (top 10 vendors by spend) $___M Medium Procurement
Pricing review (eliminate unprofitable products/customers) $___M (margin improvement) Medium Sales/Finance
SG&A rationalization (travel, marketing, subscriptions) $___M Low All

90-Day Quick-Wins (Revenue and Margin)

Action Expected Revenue/Margin Impact ($M) Implementation Effort Owner
Customer profitability analysis (exit unprofitable accounts) $___M margin improvement Medium Sales/Finance
Pricing increases on inelastic products/services $___M revenue uplift Medium Sales
Sales force effectiveness (reallocate to highest-value accounts) $___M pipeline improvement Medium Sales
Working capital optimization (DSO/DPO/DIO targets) $___M cash flow improvement Medium Treasury
Supply chain optimization (supplier consolidation, logistics) $___M cost reduction High Supply Chain

9. Restructuring Plan Summary Framework

The final restructuring plan must address:

Plan Component Content Status
Business plan 3-5 year projections under restructured operations
Capital structure Pro forma balance sheet post-restructuring; target leverage ratios
Stakeholder treatment Recovery waterfall for each creditor class and equity
Operational changes Cost reductions, revenue initiatives, management changes
Liquidity Sources and uses of cash through restructuring; DIP or new money terms
Implementation timeline Key milestones from plan approval through emergence
Governance Board composition, management team, reporting requirements
Monitoring KPIs, covenant package, reporting cadence to creditors

Output Template

## Restructuring Assessment: [Company Name]

**Date**: [Date] | **Urgency**: [Green/Amber/Red] | **Cash Runway**: [X] weeks

### Situation Overview
[Nature of distress, key triggers, immediate risks]

### Triage Assessment
| Indicator | Status | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Cash runway | [Status] | [1/2/3] |
| Debt maturity | [Status] | [1/2/3] |
| ... | | |
| **Total** | | **[X]/24** |

### 13-Week Cash Flow Summary
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Opening cash | $[X]M |
| Total 13-week receipts | $[X]M |
| Total 13-week disbursements | ($[X]M) |
| Liquidity trough (week [X]) | $[X]M |
| Closing cash (week 13) | $[X]M |
| Stress case trough | $[X]M |

### Capital Structure and Stakeholder Map
| Stakeholder | Claim ($M) | Priority | Posture | Strategy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ... | | | | |

### Fulcrum Security
[Waterfall analysis identifying the fulcrum security]

### Viability Assessment
[Assessment of each viability criterion with conclusion]

### Going-Concern vs. Liquidation
| Scenario | Total Value ($M) | Unsecured Recovery |
|---|---|---|
| Going concern | $[X]M | [X]% |
| Orderly liquidation | $[X]M | [X]% |
| Forced liquidation | $[X]M | [X]% |

### Recommended Restructuring Path
[Selected option with rationale and scoring]

### Creditor Strategy
[Negotiation approach for each creditor class]

### Operational Quick-Wins
#### 30-Day (Cash Preservation)
[Actions with expected cash impact]

#### 60-Day (Cost Structure)
[Actions with expected savings]

#### 90-Day (Revenue and Margin)
[Actions with expected impact]

### Restructuring Plan Outline
[High-level plan components with timeline]

### Key Risks
| Risk | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|
| ... | | |

Quality Checks

  • Triage assessment completed with scoring across all 8 indicators to classify severity (Stressed / Distressed / Critical).
  • 13-week cash flow model built on a receipts-and-disbursements basis with weekly granularity (not monthly).
  • Liquidity trough identified (the worst week) along with a stress case scenario.
  • Stakeholder map covers all creditor classes, equity, management, key customers, and key suppliers with claim amounts and priority.
  • Fulcrum security identified through a waterfall analysis of going-concern value vs. claims.
  • All restructuring options evaluated (operational, out-of-court, pre-pack, Chapter 11, 363 sale, liquidation) with scoring.
  • Viability assessment explicitly concludes whether the business is viable as a going concern.
  • Going-concern value compared to both orderly and forced liquidation values with recovery rates for unsecured creditors.
  • Creditor negotiation strategy tailored to each creditor class with specific asks (forbearance, amend/extend, haircut, etc.).
  • Operational quick-wins organized into 30/60/90-day categories with dollar-value estimates and named owners.
  • Restructuring plan addresses all 8 required components (business plan, capital structure, stakeholder treatment, operational changes, liquidity, timeline, governance, monitoring).
  • Cross-reference: financial-modeling skill used or referenced for the 13-week cash flow model and business plan projections.