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hk-valuation-analyzer

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Updated 10-16 04:56

About this skill

Hong Kong Stock Valuation Analyzer

A professional Hong Kong stock valuation analysis tool, providing overall market valuation, industry valuation comparison, and in-depth individual stock valuation analysis.

Core Features

📊 Overall Market Valuation

  • Hang Seng Index Valuation Level
  • Historical Percentile of Market Valuation
  • Relationship Between Valuation and Returns
  • Valuation Trend Analysis

🏢 Industry Valuation Comparison

  • PE/PB/PS/PCF Comparison Across Industries
  • Historical Percentile of Industry Valuation
  • Industry Relative Valuation Analysis
  • Valuation Rotation Identification

🎯 Individual Stock Valuation Analysis

  • Multi-dimensional Valuation Metrics
  • Historical Valuation Range
  • Valuation Comparison Within the Same Industry
  • Valuation Reasonableness Assessment

📈 Valuation Models

  • DCF Cash Flow Discount Model
  • DDM Dividend Discount Model
  • Relative Valuation Model
  • Asset Replacement Cost Model

Use Cases

Investment Decision-Making

  • Identify Undervalued/Overvalued Opportunities
  • Formulate Valuation-Based Investment Strategies
  • Industry Allocation Decisions
  • Buy/Sell Timing for Individual Stocks

Risk Management

  • Valuation Risk Monitoring
  • Bubble Risk Identification
  • Valuation Reversion Risk
  • Portfolio Valuation Optimization

Research and Analysis

  • Research on the Relationship Between Valuation and Returns
  • Valuation Effectiveness Analysis
  • Market Efficiency Research
  • Cross-market Valuation Comparison

Output Content

📊 Market Valuation Overview

恒生指数估值水平 (2026-02-15):
PE (TTM): 12.5x (历史分位数: 35%)
PB (MRQ): 1.2x (历史分位数: 40%)
PS (TTM): 1.8x (历史分位数: 45%)
PCF (TTM): 8.5x (历史分位数: 30%)

股息率: 3.2% (历史分位数: 65%)
估值评分: 65/100 (适中偏低)

🏢 Industry Valuation Comparison

行业估值排名 (PE TTM):
1. 银行板块: 6.2x (历史分位数: 25%)
2. 地产板块: 8.5x (历史分位数: 30%)
3. 公用事业: 12.8x (历史分位数: 40%)
4. 科技板块: 25.6x (历史分位数: 60%)
5. 消费品: 28.9x (历史分位数: 70%)

🎯 Individual Stock Valuation Analysis

腾讯控股 (00700) 估值分析:
PE (TTM): 18.5x (历史分位数: 45%)
PB (MRQ): 3.2x (历史分位数: 50%)
PS (TTM): 6.8x (历史分位数: 55%)
PCF (TTM): 12.5x (历史分位数: 40%)

DCF估值: 380.0港元 (当前溢价: -5.5%)
DDM估值: 365.0港元 (当前溢价: -8.8%)
相对估值: 375.0港元 (当前溢价: -6.8%)
综合估值: 373.0港元 (当前溢价: -7.2%)

📈 Valuation Signals

市场估值信号:
- 整体估值: 适中偏低 (买入信号)
- 行业轮动: 科技→价值 (轮动信号)
- 个股机会: 银行、地产被低估 (机会信号)
- 风险提示: 科技股估值偏高 (风险信号)

Valuation Methods

Absolute Valuation

  • DCF Model: Free Cash Flow Discounting
  • DDM Model: Dividend Discount Model
  • Asset Replacement: Replacement Cost Method
  • Liquidation Value: Liquidation Value Method

Relative Valuation

  • PE Valuation: Price-to-Earnings Multiple
  • PB Valuation: Price-to-Book Multiple
  • PS Valuation: Price-to-Sales Multiple
  • PCF Valuation: Price-to-Cash-Flow Multiple
  • EV/EBITDA: Enterprise Value Multiple

Cross-market Valuation

  • AH Share Comparison: A-share vs H-share valuation comparison
  • Global Comparison: Comparison with Global Market Valuations
  • Historical Comparison: Comparison with Historical Valuation Levels
  • Industry Comparison: Valuation Comparison Within the Same Industry

Technical Indicators

Valuation Indicators

  • PE Ratio: Current PE vs Historical PE
  • PB Ratio: Current PB vs Historical PB
  • Valuation Percentile: Historical Position of Current Valuation
  • Valuation Deviation: Current Valuation vs Reasonable Valuation

Trend Indicators

  • Valuation Trend: Valuation Change Trend
  • Valuation Momentum: Valuation Change Speed
  • Valuation Rotation: Industry Valuation Rotation
  • Valuation Convergence: Valuation Mean Reversion

Risk Indicators

  • Valuation Risk: Overvaluation Risk
  • Bubble Risk: Market Bubble Risk
  • Reversion Risk: Valuation Reversion Risk
  • Liquidity Risk: Insufficient Liquidity Risk

Data Sources

Primary Data Sources

  • Hong Kong Stock Exchange: Official Financial Data
  • Bloomberg: Real-time Valuation Data
  • Reuters: Historical Valuation Data
  • Major Brokerages: Research Report Data

Data Update Frequency

  • Real-time Data: Updated in real time during trading hours
  • Financial Data: Quarterly Update
  • Valuation Data: Daily Update
  • Historical Data: Over 10 years of historical data

Usage

Basic Query

# 获取市场估值
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --market

# 获取行业估值
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --sectors

# 获取个股估值
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --stock 00700

# 获取估值排名
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --ranking

Advanced Analysis

# DCF估值模型
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --dcf 00700

# 相对估值分析
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --relative 00700

# 估值历史分析
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --history 00700 --period 5y

# 估值敏感性分析
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --sensitivity 00700

Configuration Options

Valuation Methods

# DCF模型
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --method dcf

# DDM模型
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --method ddm

# 相对估值
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --method relative

# 综合估值
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --method comprehensive

Display Options

# 简洁模式
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --simple

# 详细模式
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --detailed

# 排序选项
python scripts/valuation_analyzer.py --sort by_pe

Output Format

Table Format

┌─────────────┬──────────┬─────────┬──────────┬──────────┐
│ 行业名称   │ PE TTM   │ PB MRQ   │ 历史分位 │ 评级     │
├─────────────┼──────────┼─────────┼──────────┼──────────┤
│ 银行板块   │ 6.2x     │ 0.8x     │ 25%      │ 买入     │
│ 地产板块   │ 8.5x     │ 0.9x     │ 30%      │ 买入     │
│ 科技板块   │ 25.6x    │ 3.8x     │ 60%      │ 持有     │
│ 消费品     │ 28.9x    │ 4.2x     │ 70%      │ 卖出     │
└─────────────┴──────────┴─────────┴──────────┴──────────┘

JSON Format

{
  "date": "2026-02-15",
  "market_valuation": {
    "hsi_pe_ttm": 12.5,
    "hsi_pb_mrq": 1.2,
    "hsi_ps_ttm": 1.8,
    "hsi_pcf_ttm": 8.5,
    "pe_percentile": 35,
    "pb_percentile": 40,
    "valuation_score": 65
  },
  "sector_valuations": [
    {"sector": "银行", "pe_ttm": 6.2, "pb_mrq": 0.8, "percentile": 25, "rating": "买入"}
  ],
  "stock_valuations": [
    {"code": "00700", "name": "腾讯控股", "pe_ttm": 18.5, "pb_mrq": 3.2, "target_price": 373.0}
  ]
}

Notes

  1. Valuation Timeliness: Valuations are based on the latest financial data and may lag
  2. Exchange Rate Impact: Hong Kong stocks are denominated in Hong Kong dollars; exchange rate factors must be considered
  3. Accounting Standards: Hong Kong stocks use IFRS, which may differ from A-shares and US stocks
  4. Market Mechanism: Hong Kong stocks have no price limits, so valuation fluctuations may be relatively large
  5. Data Quality: Data quality for some small-cap stocks may be relatively poor

Changelog

v1.0.0 (2026-02-15)

  • Initial Version Released
  • Supports overall market valuation analysis
  • Industry valuation comparison feature
  • Individual stock valuation analysis
  • DCF/DDM valuation models

Hong Kong Stock Valuation Analyzer - Professional Valuation Analysis Tool