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hk-sector-rotation

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Updated 10-16 04:56

About this skill

Hong Kong Stock Sector Rotation Detector

A professional Hong Kong stock sector rotation analysis tool, providing industry rotation identification, capital flow analysis, and allocation recommendations.

Core Functions

🔄 Rotation Detection

  • Sector relative strength analysis
  • Capital flow rotation
  • Rotation signal identification
  • Rotation cycle analysis

📊 Industry Performance

  • Ranking of gains and losses by industry
  • Industry relative strength
  • Industry capital flows
  • Industry valuation comparison

💰 Capital Flows

  • Industry capital inflows and outflows
  • Institutional industry preferences
  • Southbound capital industry distribution
  • Capital rotation patterns

🎯 Allocation Recommendations

  • Industry overweight and underweight recommendations
  • Timing rotation opportunities
  • Risk diversification recommendations
  • Allocation ratio optimization

Use Cases

Industry Allocation

  • Identify strong industries
  • Seize rotation opportunities
  • Optimize industry allocation
  • Diversify investment risk

Timing Selection

  • Determine rotation timing
  • Identify rotation signals
  • Seize entry timing
  • Control exit timing

Risk Management

  • Monitor industry risk
  • Identify rotation risk
  • Control concentration risk
  • Dynamically adjust allocation

Output Content

🔄 Rotation Overview

港股板块轮动 (2026-02-15):
当前轮动阶段: 成长→价值
轮动强度: 中等 (评分: 6.5/10)
轮动持续性: 3周 (预计持续2-4周)
主要驱动力: 估值修复、政策支持

强势板块: 科技、医疗保健、消费品
弱势板块: 地产、公用事业、能源
轮动信号: 明确

📊 Industry Performance Ranking

行业表现TOP10:
1. 科技板块: +3.2% (资金净流入15.2亿) 🚀
2. 医疗保健: +2.8% (资金净流入8.5亿) 📈
3. 消费品: +2.1% (资金净流入6.3亿) 📊
4. 金融板块: +1.5% (资金净流入12.8亿) 💰
5. 工业板块: +1.2% (资金净流入4.1亿) 🏭

弱势板块:
1. 地产板块: -1.8% (资金净流出5.2亿) 📉
2. 公用事业: -1.2% (资金净流出2.1亿) 💡
3. 能源板块: -0.9% (资金净流出1.8亿) ⚡

💰 Capital Flow Analysis

行业资金流向 (近5日):
净流入行业:
• 科技板块: +68.5亿 (主要流入)
• 医疗保健: +32.1亿 (持续流入)
• 消费品: +28.7亿 (稳定流入)

净流出行业:
• 地产板块: -25.3亿 (持续流出)
• 公用事业: -12.6亿 (资金撤离)
• 能源板块: -8.9亿 (弱势流出)

资金轮动模式: 成长→价值
轮动确定性: 高 (75%)

🎯 Allocation Recommendations

行业配置建议:
超配 (超配5-10%):
• 科技板块 (权重: 25%)
• 医疗保健 (权重: 15%)
• 消费品 (权重: 20%)

标配 (维持基准):
• 金融板块 (权重: 20%)
• 工业板块 (权重: 10%)

低配 (低配5-10%):
• 地产板块 (权重: 5%)
• 公用事业 (权重: 3%)
• 能源板块 (权重: 2%)

风险提示: 关注科技板块估值风险

Rotation Indicators

Relative Strength Indicators

  • Relative strength: 行业收益率 / 市场收益率
  • Relative strength ranking: Industry relative strength ranking
  • Relative strength momentum: Rate of change of relative strength
  • Relative strength trend: Direction of relative strength trend

Capital Flow Indicators

  • Net capital inflow: Amount of net capital inflow by industry
  • Capital inflow share: Proportion of industry inflows to total inflows
  • Capital inflow sustainability: Number of consecutive inflow days
  • Capital inflow intensity: Single-day inflow intensity

Rotation Signal Indicators

  • Rotation signal strength: Strength of the rotation signal
  • Rotation sustainability: Expected duration of rotation
  • Rotation certainty: Certainty of the rotation signal
  • Rotation cycle: Length of rotation cycle

Technical Analysis

Trend Analysis

  • Industry trend: Trend direction of each industry
  • Rotation trend: Overall rotation trend
  • Relative trend: Industry relative trend
  • Trend strength: Trend strength assessment

Pattern Recognition

  • Rotation pattern: Identify rotation patterns
  • Cycle pattern: Rotation Cycle Patterns
  • Capital Patterns: Capital Flow Patterns
  • Divergence Patterns: Price and Capital Divergence

Data Sources

Primary Data Sources

  • Hong Kong Stock Exchange: Industry Classification and Trading Data
  • Data Providers: Industry Capital Flow Data
  • Brokerage Research: Industry Research Reports
  • Capital Flows: Southbound Capital Industry Data

Data Update Frequency

  • Real-Time Data: Real-time updates during trading hours
  • Daily Data: Updated after daily market close
  • Capital Data: Daily updates
  • Historical Data: Over 5 years of historical data

Usage

Basic Query

# 获取轮动概览
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --overview

# 获取行业表现
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --performance

# 获取资金流向
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --flow

# 获取配置建议
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --allocation

Advanced Analysis

# 轮动信号检测
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --signals

# 轮动历史分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --history 30

# 轮动周期分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --cycle

# 轮动预测
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --forecast

Configuration Options

Analysis Options

# 相对强度分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --relative-strength

# 资金流向分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --flow-analysis

# 轮动模式分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --pattern

# 风险分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --risk

Time Options

# 日度分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --daily

# 周度分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --weekly

# 月度分析
python scripts/sector_rotation.py --monthly

Output Format

Table Format

┌─────────────┬──────────┬─────────┬──────────┬──────────┐
│ 行业名称   │ 涨跌幅   │ 资金流向 │ 相对强度 │ 配置建议 │
├─────────────┼──────────┼─────────┼──────────┼──────────┤
│ 科技板块   │ +3.2%    │ +15.2亿 │ 1.75     │ 超配     │
│ 医疗保健   │ +2.8%    │ +8.5亿  │ 1.52     │ 超配     │
│ 消费品     │ +2.1%    │ +6.3亿  │ 1.21     │ 超配     │
│ 金融板块   │ +1.5%    │ +12.8亿 │ 0.95     │ 标配     │
│ 地产板块   │ -1.8%    │ -5.2亿  │ 0.68     │ 低配     │
└─────────────┴──────────┴─────────┴──────────┴──────────┘

JSON Format

{
  "date": "2026-02-15",
  "rotation_overview": {
    "current_phase": "成长→价值",
    "rotation_strength": 6.5,
    "duration_weeks": 3,
    "main_drivers": ["估值修复", "政策支持"]
  },
  "sector_performance": [
    {"sector": "科技", "return": 3.2, "flow": 1520000000, "relative_strength": 1.75}
  ],
  "allocation_suggestions": {
    "overweight": ["科技", "医疗保健", "消费品"],
    "equal_weight": ["金融", "工业"],
    "underweight": ["地产", "公用事业", "能源"]
  }
}

Notes

  1. Industry Classification: Ensure industry classification consistency
  2. Data Delay: Capital flow data may be delayed
  3. Rotation Cycle: Rotation cycles may be irregular
  4. External Factors: Consider macroeconomic policy impacts
  5. Liquidity: Consider differences in industry liquidity

Changelog

v1.0.0 (2026-02-15)

  • Initial version release
  • Support sector rotation detection
  • Industry performance analysis
  • Capital flow analysis
  • Configuration recommendation generation

Hong Kong Stock Sector Rotation Detector - Professional Industry Rotation Analysis Tool