Data dependencies and execution prerequisites
It is recommended to use Wind wind-mcp-skill to obtain underlying data. Before execution, first check whether there is already wind-mcp-skilllocally; if not, prompt the user to install:
# GitHub
npx skills add Wind-Information-Co-Ltd/wind-skills --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y
# Gitee 镜像（国内）
npx skills add https://gitee.com/wind_info/wind-skills.git --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y
Skill positioning
This skill is used to organize "which sectors are strengthening, which sectors are falling behind, where capital is flowing from and to, and whether the rotation is sustainable" into a structured judgment. The output focus is not simply listing gain/loss rankings, but helping users identify the market mainline, judge whether style switching is taking hold, and provide directions that should be tracked closely going forward.
Execution process
Step 1: Confirm the observed market, time window, and judgment objective
First confirm the market scope, time window, and purpose of use covered by this judgment:
- Whether to look at A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, U.S. stocks, or cross-market comparison
- Whether to observe the past 1 day, past 1 week, past 1 month, or a longer period
- Whether it is for post-market review, weekly strategy updates, or finding the mainline for the next stage
- Whether the user cares more about short-term strength switching or medium-term style migration
If the user does not specify, default mainly to "the sector rotation situation in the current market over the past week to one month," while taking into account both short-term and medium-term levels.
Step 2: Establish a sector strength tiering framework
First organize the major sectors, industries, or themes in the market into tiers, focusing on observing:
- Whether the strongest recent directions are concentrated in a small number of sectors
- Whether strong sectors are strengthening uniformly internally, or are driven only by a few leaders
- Whether weak sectors are continuing to weaken, or are in a stage of stabilizing and repairing
- Whether the relative strength of styles such as cyclicals, growth, consumption, financials, and defensive is changing
The goal at this stage is to first answer "what the distribution of strength and weakness is," rather than rushing to give a rotation conclusion.
Step 3: Identify clues of capital switching and style migration
After the strength tiering is clear, further judge whether capital is undergoing substantive migration, focusing mainly on:
- Whether capital is doing high-low switching within the high-level mainline, or flowing across styles
- Whether gains in strong sectors are accompanied by increased trading activity
- Whether market preference is shifting from defense to offense, or switching back from offense to defense
- Whether sector rotation is diffusion in a broad rally environment, or relay rotation under stock-game conditions
It is necessary to combine "price performance" with "capital absorption" to avoid misjudging a single-day anomaly as trend-based rotation.
Step 4: Explain the drivers behind the rotation
After confirming signs of rotation, analyze the driving reasons, prioritizing decomposition from the following categories of factors:
- The impact of changes in macroeconomic expectations on style preference
- Catalysts brought by industry trends, earnings expectations, or valuation repair
- Phased boosts to certain sectors from policy, regulation, or event stimuli
- Institutional position adjustment, passive fund rebalancing, or redistribution after trading crowding
If multiple factors act together, distinguish the primary driver from secondary drivers, and avoid piling up all factors in parallel.
Step 5: Judge the sustainability and transmission direction of the rotation
Further judge which category this rotation belongs to:
- New mainline launch
- Old leading theme repair
- Spillover within a strong theme
- Catch-up rally under high-low switching
- Pure trading-driven short-term noise
At the same time, explain which direction rotation is more likely to transmit toward next:
- Leaders continue to strengthen
- Mid-tier and second-line names catch up
- Upstream transmits to downstream, or downstream feeds back to upstream
- Style spreads from local to broader market
Step 6: Form a finalized sector rotation judgment
The final output should let users quickly know where the current market main line is, whether the rotation is solid, which directions are worth continuing to watch, and which directions are not suitable for chasing higher. The finalized draft should retain only conclusions, evidence, and a tracking framework, and should not display the internal retrieval process.
Output structure
{Market scope} Sector Rotation Radar ({YYYY-MM-DD})
I. 30-second conclusion
- Current strongest main line: {sector or theme}
- Current most obvious rotation direction: {content}
- Style judgment: {offensive / defensive / oscillating switch}
- Sustainability judgment: {strong / average / weak}
II. Sector strength snapshot
| Sector/theme | Current status | Strength change | Rotation nature | Remarks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| {Sector 1} | {leading / repairing / pulling back} | {strengthening / flat / weakening} | {main advance / catch-up / rotation retreat} | {explanation} |
| {Sector 2} | {status} | {change} | {nature} | {explanation} |
| {Sector 3} | {status} | {change} | {nature} | {explanation} |
III. Capital switching and style migration
- Capital flow summary: {content}
- Style switching clues: {content}
- Internal high-low switching situation: {content}
IV. Decomposition of rotation drivers
- Primary driver: {content}
- Secondary driver: {content}
- Short-term disturbance factors: {content}
V. Subsequent transmission paths
- Directions more likely to continue strengthening: {content}
- Directions that may see catch-up gains: {content}
- Rotation retreat directions to be vigilant about: {content}
VI. Tracking checklist
- {observation point 1}
- {observation point 2}
- {observation point 3}
Quality requirements
- Rotation analysis must simultaneously cover strength tiering, capital migration, and driver explanation; it cannot merely rank gains and losses.
- It is necessary to distinguish between "single-day abnormal movement" and "stage rotation" to avoid mistakenly writing noise as a trend.
- It is necessary to clearly define the three levels of main line, catch-up, and rotation retreat to facilitate subsequent action.
- If the rotation evidence is insufficient, it should be clearly written that "no clear main line has yet formed," and a conclusion must not be forced.
- The output should serve direction judgment and continued tracking, rather than being written as a general market overview.