earnings_preview_skill

Earnings Preview Skill

Data dependencies and execution prerequisites

It is recommended to use Wind wind-mcp-skill to obtain underlying data. Before execution, first check whether there is already wind-mcp-skilllocally; if not, prompt the user to install:

# GitHub
npx skills add Wind-Information-Co-Ltd/wind-skills --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y

# Gitee 镜像（国内）
npx skills add https://gitee.com/wind_info/wind-skills.git --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y

Skill positioning

This skill is used before an earnings release to organize "what the market is waiting for, what the company most needs to prove, and what happens if the results differ" into a high-density forward-looking draft. The output focus is not a general listing of financial indicators, but rather to help users clarify, before earnings, the expectation baseline, key verification points, potential expectation gaps, and issues that should be focused on before the meeting.

Execution process

Step 1: Confirm the analysis target, earnings period, and purpose of use

First confirm the stock name, listing location, the corresponding earnings period for this time, and the problem the user needs to solve at this time:

• Is it for quick preparation before a meeting
• Is it to judge whether it is worth participating in earnings trading
• Is it to create a forward-looking discussion draft for the team
• Is it to clarify risk exposure before taking a position

If the user does not specify, default to developing it as "research preparation before earnings announcement," and focus on the most recent upcoming earnings release.

Step 2: Establish the market expectation baseline

First organize clearly the expectations that the market has already formed, focusing mainly on:

• The market expectation range for core indicators such as revenue, profit, and profit margin
• The guidance or hints given by management last time
• The key operating variables most concentrated in sell-side and market discussion
• Verification tasks left over after the previous quarter's earnings
• Whether the expectation temperature implied by the current stock price is conservative, neutral, or overheated

The goal of this stage is not to directly draw conclusions, but first to clarify "what the market already knows, what it has already bet on, and what is still being debated."

Step 3: Break down the most important verification points for this earnings release

Around the company's current stage, extract 3-5 core questions that truly determine the direction of earnings interpretation. Prioritize attention to:

• Whether this quarter's performance is only superficially better than expected, or whether quality is also improving simultaneously
• Whether the source of growth is volume, price, mix, or one-off factors
• Whether profit margin, expense ratio, and cash flow support the current growth narrative
• Whether operating variables such as orders, users, capacity, inventory, store openings, and shipments verify the main line
• Whether management needs to respond in this earnings release to the market's biggest concerns

Verification points must be specific enough to be verified in the earnings text, earnings call, or subsequent announcements, rather than broad slogans.

Step 4: Conduct scenario analysis and a reaction framework

After the expectation baseline and key variables are clear, conduct conditional analysis of the earnings results, covering at least:

• If it clearly beats expectations, where the real surprise will come from
• If it slightly beats expectations but the stock price does not rise, what the market may be worried about
• If it superficially meets targets but guidance is weak, how the interpretation should be adjusted
• If core operating variables fall short of expectations, which risk chain the market will prioritize trading
• In which cases it is necessary to distinguish between a "good earnings report" and "good stock performance"

The focus of this step is to treat "results" and "market reaction" separately, avoiding writing the earnings preview as a one-way bet.

Step 5: Form a pre-meeting watchlist

Based on the foregoing analysis, organize the questions most worth taking to the earnings report, including:

• The three numbers to verify first after the earnings release
• The two most worthwhile question directions to listen for on the earnings call
• Which wording changes would significantly alter the judgment
• Which risks cannot be ignored even if the earnings report is good
• If the results are ambiguous, what supplementary information should be awaited before drawing conclusions

Step 6: Integrate into a forward-looking final draft

The final output should be an action-oriented forward-looking draft, without showing the intermediate retrieval path, information collection process, or internal drafts. The main text does not need to explain how the information was obtained; it only needs to present expectations, disagreements, reasoning, and action priorities.

Output structure

---

{Stock Name} Earnings Preview ({YYYY-MM-DD})

I. 30-second conclusion

• The most important highlight of this earnings report:{one sentence}
• The variable the market is currently most focused on:{one sentence}
• Where an expectation gap is most likely to appear:{one sentence}
• Overall judgment before the earnings report:{positive / neutral wait / cautious}

II. Market expectation baseline

Dimension	Current expectation	Explanation
Revenue	{value or range}	{explanation}
Profit/EPS	{value or range}	{explanation}
Key operating metrics	{value or range}	{explanation}
Guidance expectation	{raised / flat / lowered expectation}	{explanation}

III. The most critical verification points this time

• Verification point 1:{content}
• Verification point 2:{content}
• Verification point 3:{content}

IV. Scenario analysis

Scenario A: Clearly beats expectations

• Trigger condition: {condition}
• Possible reaction: {judgment}

Scenario B: Results are stable but the reaction is mixed

• Trigger condition: {condition}
• Possible reaction: {judgment}

Scenario C: Falls short of expectations

• Trigger condition: {condition}
• Possible reaction: {judgment}

V. Risk reminders before the earnings report

• {risk 1}
• {risk 2}
• {risk 3}

VI. Pre-meeting question list

• {question 1}
• {question 2}
• {question 3}

---

Quality requirements

1. The preview must revolve around the "expectation gap," rather than repeating the company's background information.
2. Key highlights should be as specific as possible to metrics, business segments, or the direction of management's statements.
3. It is necessary to distinguish between the two levels of "whether the earnings results are good or bad" and "whether the stock price reaction is strong or weak."
4. If market expectations are not clear, explicitly state that expectations are inconsistent, rather than forcing a single view.
5. The text should directly serve pre-earnings preparation and post-earnings verification, and avoid being written as a general research summary.