Load context
On first use: Read ../../CLAUDE.md to obtain scenario-level configuration (valuation method weights/industry characteristics/negotiation strategy).
/valuation-integration — Comprehensive Valuation Analysis
Examples
→ Example: The user says "the results of the three valuation methods differ; how should the final transaction price be set? Help me conduct a comprehensive analysis." The system should invoke this skill to integrate multiple valuation methods and provide pricing recommendations.
→ Example: The user says "management is disputing the valuation range and needs a neutral perspective analysis." The system should invoke this skill to generate a neutral comprehensive valuation report.
→ Example: The user says "the transaction valuation has been determined; help me assess whether the synergies can support this price." The system should invoke this skill to assess the reasonableness of the transaction price supported by synergies.
Step 1: Summary of Each Valuation Method
DCF valuation result:
□ 估值区间:[X-X] 万(中值 [X] 万)
□ 核心假设:WACC [X]%,永续增长 [X]%
□ 置信度:[✅ 高 / ⚠️ 中 / 🔴 低]
□ 方法适用性:[✅ 适合 / ⚠️ 基本适合 / 🔴 不确定]
Comparable Company Analysis valuation result:
□ EV/EBITDA 倍数法:
→ 可比公司:[列表]
→ 中位数倍数:[X]x
→ 调整后倍数:[X]x(流动性折价/控股权溢价)
→ 估值结果:[X] 万
□ P/E 倍数法(如适用):
→ 可比公司:[列表]
→ 中位数倍数:[X]x
→ 调整后倍数:[X]x
→ 估值结果:[X] 万
□ P/S 倍数法(如适用):
→ 可比公司:[列表]
→ 中位数倍数:[X]x
→ 估值结果:[X] 万
□ 可比公司法估值区间:[X-X] 万(中值 [X] 万)
□ 置信度:[✅ 高 / ⚠️ 中 / 🔴 低]
Transaction Method valuation result (Precedent Transactions):
□ 近期交易:[交易列表]
□ 交易倍数中位数:[X]x(EV/EBITDA)
□ 控股权溢价中位数:[X]%
□ 交易法估值:[X] 万
□ 置信度:[✅ 高 / ⚠️ 中 / 🔴 低]
Step 2: Comparative Analysis of Valuation Results
Comparison of valuations by method:
| 估值方法 | 低值 | 中值 | 高值 | 置信度 |
|---------|------|------|------|--------|
| DCF | [X]万 | [X]万 | [X]万 | [高/中/低] |
| 可比公司 EV/EBITDA | [X]万 | [X]万 | [X]万 | [高/中/低] |
| 可比公司法 P/E | [X]万 | [X]万 | [X]万 | [高/中/低] |
| 交易法 | [X]万 | [X]万 | [X]万 | [高/中/低] |
□ 各方法估值中值范围:[X-X] 万
□ 差异分析:
→ 最高 vs 最低中值差异:[+/-X]%([X] 万)
→ 差异原因:[分析]
Method reliability assessment:
□ DCF:适合 [高成长/稳定增长] 公司,但 [WACC/永续增长] 假设敏感
□ 可比公司法:市场情绪影响大, [流动性/控制权] 调整复杂
□ 交易法:历史交易可能不反映当前市场
Step 3: Weight Allocation and Comprehensive Valuation
Basis for weight allocation:
□ 权重分配逻辑:
→ 根据 [方法适用性/数据可靠性/市场环境] 综合判断
□ 各方法权重:
| 估值方法 | 权重 | 权重依据 |
|---------|------|---------|
| DCF | [X]% | [描述] |
| 可比公司法 | [X]% | [描述] |
| 交易法 | [X]% | [描述] |
□ 加权估值:
= [X]% × [X]万 + [X]% × [X]万 + [X]% × [X]万
= [X] 万
Comprehensive valuation range:
□ 综合估值区间:[X-X] 万
□ 综合估值中值:[X] 万
□ 每股价值(如适用):[X] 元
□ 区间合理性评估:
→ 上限合理性:[描述]
→ 下限合理性:[描述]
Step 4: Comparison with Quote/Negotiation Range
Comparative analysis:
□ 当前报价(如有):[X] 万
□ 报价 vs 综合估值中值:[+/-X]%(溢价/折价)
□ 报价 vs 估值区间:[在区间内/超出区间]
□ 谈判空间分析:
→ 可接受价格区间:[X-X] 万
→ 理想价格:[X] 万
→ 报价上限:[X] 万
Step 5: Investment Recommendation
Risk-adjusted recommendation:
□ 估值敏感性:
→ 对 [关键假设] 的敏感度较高
→ 主要风险:[描述]
□ 风险调整:
→ 协同效应价值:[X] 万(已计入/未计入)
→ 控制权溢价:[X]%([X] 万)
→ 流动性折价:[X]%([X] 万)
□ 投资建议:
→ [建议:买入/持有/观望/放弃]
→ 理由:[描述]
Step 6: Generate Comprehensive Valuation Report
═══════════════════════════════════════
估值综合分析报告
标的:[名称]
估值日期:[YYYY-MM-DD]
交易类型:[类型]
═══════════════════════════════════════
【估值结果汇总】
| 方法 | 中值(万) | 区间(万) | 权重 | 加权值(万) |
|------|-----------|-----------|------|------------|
| DCF | [X] | [X-X] | [X]% | [X] |
| 可比公司法 | [X] | [X-X] | [X]% | [X] |
| 交易法 | [X] | [X-X] | [X]% | [X] |
□ 综合估值中值:[X] 万
□ 综合估值区间:[X-X] 万
【估值区间对比】
□ vs 当前报价:[X] 万([溢价/折价 X]%)
□ vs 谈判目标:[X] 万
□ 可接受上限:[X] 万
【投资建议】
□ 建议:[买入/持有/观望]
□ 目标价:[X] 万([溢价/折价 X]%)
□ 理由:[X] 点
【主要风险】
□ [风险 1]
□ [风险 2]
═══════════════════════════════════════
置信度:[✅ 高 / ⚠️ 中 / 🔴 低]
建议可靠性:[✅ 可靠 / ⚠️ 存在不确定性]
═══════════════════════════════════════
Escalation Trigger Conditions
- Valuation differences among methods > [X]% (methodological controversy exists)
- Quote significantly exceeds the upper limit of the valuation (renegotiation required)
- Major adjustments to valuation assumptions are required
- Involves significant synergies (must be quantified separately)
- Involves contingent consideration/earn-out structure design
- Involves listed company disclosure requirements (stock price sensitivity)
Finance Skills — valuation-integration atomic skill