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financial-modeling

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Updated 10-16 06:24

About this skill

Financial Modeling

CFO methodology for building financial models, analyzing unit economics, setting pricing strategy, managing fundraising, allocating budgets, and tracking SaaS operating metrics. These frameworks provide the quantitative backbone for strategic decisions across the organization.

Domain Model

Domain Covers Artifact
Unit Economics CAC, LTV, payback period, contribution margin, gross margin analysis Unit economics model
Financial Modeling Revenue projections, cost structures, runway analysis, scenario planning, sensitivity Financial model (3-statement)
Pricing Strategy Value-based, competitive, freemium, tiered, usage-based, packaging Pricing recommendation deck
Fundraising Valuation, cap table, dilution, term sheets, investor materials Data room, pitch deck, cap table
Budget Frameworks Zero-based, driver-based, rolling forecasts, variance analysis Budget model, forecast
SaaS Metrics ARR/MRR, churn, NDR, Rule of 40, Magic Number, CAC ratio Metrics dashboard

When to Load

Load this skill when the task involves:

  • Building or reviewing a financial model (P&L, balance sheet, cash flow)
  • Calculating unit economics (CAC, LTV, payback, contribution margin)
  • Designing a pricing strategy or packaging model
  • Preparing for a fundraising round (valuation, cap table, term sheets)
  • Creating a budget (zero-based, driver-based, rolling forecast)
  • Analyzing SaaS operating metrics (ARR, churn, NDR, Rule of 40)
  • Running scenario or sensitivity analysis
  • Evaluating a pricing change or monetization strategy

Loading Order

skill_view('financial-modeling')                    # This — methodology index
skill_view('executive-methodology')                  # Shared decision frameworks
skill_view('artifact-pyramids')                      # Output contract
skill_view('financial-modeling', file_path='references/unit-economics.md')
skill_view('financial-modeling', file_path='references/financial-modeling.md')
skill_view('financial-modeling', file_path='references/pricing-strategy.md')
skill_view('financial-modeling', file_path='references/fundraising.md')
skill_view('financial-modeling', file_path='references/saas-metrics.md')

Reference Files

Reference Load When File
Unit Economics You need to calculate CAC, LTV, payback period, or contribution margin references/unit-economics.md
Financial Modeling You're building or auditing a financial model with revenue projections and cost structures references/financial-modeling.md
Pricing Strategy You're evaluating pricing models, packaging, or monetization strategy references/pricing-strategy.md
Fundraising You're preparing cap tables, term sheets, valuation, or fundraising materials references/fundraising.md
SaaS Metrics You're analyzing ARR/MRR, churn, NDR, Rule of 40, or Magic Number references/saas-metrics.md

Design Principles

  1. Models are tools for thinking, not predictions. A financial model's value is in forcing explicit assumptions and exposing their implications. The output is never "right" — it's internally consistent with stated assumptions.
  2. Unit economics come before growth. If you don't know whether each customer is profitable, scaling unprofitable growth will destroy the company. Understand unit economics before raising growth capital.
  3. Pricing is a product feature. It signals value, segments the market, and drives adoption patterns. Treat pricing decisions with the same rigor as product decisions.
  4. The cap table is a governance document. Every financing round reshapes incentives. Understand who controls what, and how future rounds will dilute existing holders.
  5. SaaS metrics are management by proxy. A Rule of 40 score is a summary, not a strategy. The underlying drivers (retention, efficiency, growth) are what matter. Lead with levers, not scores.
  6. Scenarios, not single points. Every forecast should have a base, upside, and downside case. A single-number forecast implies a level of certainty that never exists.

Related Skills

  • executive-methodology — shared decision frameworks and governance
  • strategy-frameworks — CEO-side strategic planning and capital allocation
  • operational-design — COO-side operational metrics and process design
  • artifact-pyramids — output contract specification