SuperAPI AI Directory

valuation

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Updated 10-15 23:44

About this skill

Business Valuation

Required Inputs

  • Subject Company: Name, industry, and brief description of the business.
  • Purpose of Valuation: M&A, fairness opinion, strategic planning, litigation, tax, or fundraising.
  • Financial Data: Revenue, EBITDA, net income, total assets, debt, and cash (trailing twelve months + projections if available).
  • Standard of Value: Fair market value, fair value, investment value, or liquidation value.
  • Control vs. Minority: Whether the interest being valued is a controlling stake or minority position.

Execution Steps

1. Preliminary Analysis

Assess the company before selecting methods:

Factor Assessment Impact on Methodology
Profitability Profitable / Pre-profit / Distressed Pre-profit: weight revenue multiples; Distressed: weight asset-based
Growth stage Early / Growth / Mature / Decline Early: weight DCF with scenario analysis; Mature: weight comps
Asset intensity Asset-light / Asset-heavy Asset-heavy: include asset-based approach
Comparable availability Strong peer set / Weak peer set Weak: increase DCF weight, reduce comps weight
Transaction context Control acquisition / Minority investment Control: include precedent transactions + control premium

2. DCF Valuation (Intrinsic Value)

2a. WACC Derivation

Calculate the weighted average cost of capital:

Component Formula Source
Cost of equity (Ke) Risk-free rate + Beta x Equity risk premium + Size premium + Company-specific premium CAPM model
Risk-free rate 10-year or 20-year government bond yield Treasury data
Equity risk premium Historical market return minus risk-free rate (typically 5-7%) Damodaran / Duff & Phelps
Beta Unlevered peer beta, re-levered for target capital structure Regression or peer-derived
Size premium Small-cap premium if applicable (1-5%) Duff & Phelps / Kroll
Cost of debt (Kd) Yield on comparable-rated debt x (1 - tax rate) Market or synthetic rating
WACC Ke x (E / (D+E)) + Kd x (D / (D+E)) Target capital structure weights

State every assumption explicitly. Document risk-free rate date, ERP source, beta peers, and size premium category.

2b. Free Cash Flow Projection

Project unlevered free cash flow (UFCF) for the explicit forecast period (typically 5-10 years):

UFCF = EBIT x (1 - Tax Rate) + D&A - CapEx - Change in Net Working Capital

Use the financial-modeling skill for detailed three-statement model construction when building projections from scratch.

2c. Terminal Value (Two Methods)

Perpetuity Growth Method:

TV = UFCFn+1 / (WACC - g)

Where g = long-term sustainable growth rate (typically 2-3%, must not exceed nominal GDP growth).

Exit Multiple Method:

TV = EBITDAn x Exit Multiple

Where the exit multiple is derived from current trading multiples of mature peers.

Sanity check: Both methods should produce terminal values within 20% of each other. If not, re-examine assumptions. Terminal value typically represents 60-80% of total enterprise value for growth companies.

2d. DCF Summary

Item Value Notes
PV of projected FCFs $___M Sum of discounted UFCFs
PV of terminal value $___M Discounted TV
Enterprise value (DCF) $___M Sum of above
Terminal value as % of EV ___% Flag if >85%

Produce a sensitivity table on WACC (rows) x Terminal growth rate (columns) with at least 5x5 grid, centered on the base case.

3. Comparable Companies Analysis (Market Value)

3a. Peer Selection

Select 6-12 comparable public companies based on:

  • Same or adjacent industry (SIC/NAICS codes)
  • Similar size (revenue within 0.5x-2.0x if possible)
  • Similar growth profile and margin structure
  • Same geographic exposure

Document why each peer was included or excluded.

3b. Trading Multiples

Peer EV/Revenue EV/EBITDA EV/EBIT P/E EV/FCF
Peer 1
Peer 2
...
Mean
Median
25th percentile
75th percentile

Apply the most relevant multiples to the subject company's metrics. Use LTM and NTM metrics where available.

3c. Comps-Implied Valuation

Multiple Applied Subject Metric Multiple Range (25th-75th) Implied EV Range
EV/Revenue $___M revenue ___x - ___x $___M - $___M
EV/EBITDA $___M EBITDA ___x - ___x $___M - $___M

4. Precedent Transactions Analysis (Deal Value)

4a. Transaction Selection

Identify 5-10 comparable M&A transactions from the last 3-5 years. Prioritize:

  • Same industry and sub-sector
  • Similar target size
  • Similar deal rationale (strategic vs. financial buyer)
  • Comparable market conditions at time of deal

4b. Transaction Multiples

Transaction Date Target Acquirer EV ($M) EV/Revenue EV/EBITDA
Deal 1
Deal 2
...
Median

Note: Precedent transaction multiples inherently include a control premium paid by acquirers.

5. Asset-Based Valuation (Liquidation / Floor Value)

Use when the company is asset-heavy, in distress, or as a floor valuation.

Asset Category Book Value Fair Market Value Adjustment FMV
Cash and equivalents 100% of book
Accounts receivable 80-95% of book (net of doubtful)
Inventory 50-90% of book (depends on type)
PP&E Appraisal-based or 40-80% of book
Intangibles (identifiable) Separate IP valuation if material
Real estate Appraisal value
Total adjusted assets
Less: Total liabilities At face value + contingent liabilities
Net asset value

6. Valuation Bridge: Enterprise Value to Equity Value

Regardless of methodology, bridge from EV to equity value:

Item Value Notes
Enterprise value $___M From selected methodology
Less: Total debt ($___M) All interest-bearing obligations
Less: Minority interests ($___M) If consolidated
Less: Preferred equity ($___M) At liquidation preference
Less: Unfunded pension ($___M) If applicable
Less: Contingent liabilities ($___M) Litigation, earnouts owed
Plus: Cash and equivalents $___M Unrestricted cash
Plus: Non-operating assets $___M Excess real estate, investments
Equity value $___M
Diluted shares outstanding ___M Treasury stock method for options/warrants
Equity value per share $___

7. Control Premium / Minority Discount

Adjustment Typical Range When to Apply
Control premium 20-40% over trading price Valuing a controlling interest using public comps (which reflect minority prices)
Minority discount 15-30% from control value Valuing a minority stake from a control-level valuation
Marketability discount (DLOM) 15-35% Valuing illiquid/private shares with no public market

Apply adjustments only once and document the basis. Never double-count (e.g., precedent transactions already include control premiums).

8. Football Field Summary (Range by Method)

Produce a text-based range chart showing the valuation range from each methodology:

Valuation Range Summary ($M)
                        Low          Mid          High
DCF                 |=====[=========]=========|
                    $XXX         $XXX         $XXX

Comparable Cos.     |======[=======]====|
                    $XXX         $XXX    $XXX

Precedent Txns          |====[========]============|
                        $XXX     $XXX              $XXX

Asset-Based         |==|
                    $XX $XX

Selected Range             |====[====]====|
                           $XXX    $XXX   $XXX

9. Conclusion and Selected Value

State the concluded valuation range and point estimate:

  • Weight assigned to each methodology with rationale
  • Selected enterprise value range (low / mid / high)
  • Selected equity value range
  • Key assumptions that most influence the result
  • Sensitivity to the top 2-3 variables

Output Template

## Valuation Analysis: [Company Name]

**Date**: [Date] | **Purpose**: [Purpose] | **Standard of Value**: [Standard]

### Executive Summary
[Company] is valued at an enterprise value of $[X]M to $[Y]M, with a midpoint
of $[Z]M, based on a weighted analysis of [methods used]. The equity value
range is $[A]M to $[B]M ($[C] to $[D] per share on [N]M diluted shares).

### WACC Derivation
| Component | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-free rate | X.X% | [source and date] |
| Equity risk premium | X.X% | [source] |
| Beta (re-levered) | X.XX | [peer set] |
| Size premium | X.X% | [category] |
| Cost of equity | X.X% | CAPM |
| Pre-tax cost of debt | X.X% | [basis] |
| Tax rate | X.X% | [statutory / effective] |
| Debt / total capital | X.X% | [target structure] |
| **WACC** | **X.X%** | |

### DCF Valuation
[Projected UFCF table, terminal value calculation, sensitivity table]

### Comparable Companies
[Peer table with multiples, implied valuation ranges]

### Precedent Transactions
[Transaction table with multiples, implied valuation ranges]

### Asset-Based Valuation
[Adjusted net asset value table — include only if applicable]

### Valuation Bridge
| Item | Value |
|---|---|
| Enterprise value (midpoint) | $___M |
| Less: Net debt | ($___M) |
| Less: Other EV adjustments | ($___M) |
| **Equity value** | **$___M** |
| Per share (diluted) | $___  |

### Football Field
[Text-based range chart showing all methods]

### Methodology Weighting
| Method | Weight | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| DCF | X% | [why] |
| Comparable companies | X% | [why] |
| Precedent transactions | X% | [why] |
| Asset-based | X% | [why] |

### Key Sensitivities
[WACC x Growth sensitivity table]
[Multiple sensitivity table]

### Risks and Caveats
- [Key risk 1 and its impact on valuation]
- [Key risk 2 and its impact on valuation]

Quality Checks

  • At least two independent valuation methodologies applied and cross-referenced.
  • WACC derivation fully documented with every input sourced and dated.
  • Terminal value sanity-checked: perpetuity growth method and exit multiple method are within 20% of each other.
  • Terminal value as percentage of total EV calculated and flagged if >85%.
  • Valuation bridge from enterprise value to equity value explicitly shown with every line item.
  • Control premium or minority discount applied exactly once (never double-counted with precedent transaction premiums).
  • DLOM applied only to private/illiquid interests, not to publicly traded shares.
  • Sensitivity analysis covers at least WACC and terminal value assumptions in a grid format.
  • Football field chart shows the range from every method used, plus the selected range.
  • Every peer in the comparable companies set has a stated inclusion rationale.
  • Concluded value range is explicitly stated with methodology weights and rationale.
  • Cross-reference: financial-modeling skill used or referenced for underlying projection model construction.