SuperAPI AI Directory

cyber-risk-assessment

Security & auditing

View repository

Updated 10-16 06:21

About this skill

Cyber Risk Assessment

Required Inputs

  • Organization: Company name, industry, size (employees, revenue), and technology footprint.
  • Scope: Enterprise-wide or specific business unit / system / application.
  • Framework Preference: NIST CSF 2.0, ISO 27001, CIS Controls v8, or hybrid.
  • Current Security Posture: Existing security program documentation, prior assessments, audit results.
  • Regulatory Requirements: Applicable cybersecurity regulations (SOC 2, GDPR, HIPAA, PCI-DSS, CMMC, etc.).
  • Known Incidents: Past security incidents, breaches, or near-misses.
  • Technology Stack: Key platforms, cloud providers, network architecture overview.
  • Budget Context: Current cybersecurity spend and investment capacity.

Execution Steps

1. Framework Selection Guidance

Select the appropriate framework based on organizational context.

Framework Comparison Matrix

Criterion NIST CSF 2.0 ISO 27001:2022 CIS Controls v8
Best For Comprehensive risk-based program design Formal ISMS certification Tactical, prioritized implementation
Approach Outcomes-based, flexible Requirements-based, prescriptive Safeguard-based, prioritized
Structure 6 Functions, 22 Categories, 106 Subcategories 93 controls in 4 themes 18 Controls, 153 Safeguards in 3 IGs
Certification No formal certification Yes (accredited certification) No formal certification
Regulatory Mapping Maps to most US/intl regulations Recognized globally for compliance Maps to NIST CSF and ISO 27001
Maturity Model 4 tiers (Partial to Adaptive) Binary (conforms / does not conform) 3 Implementation Groups (IG1-IG3)
Effort to Implement Medium-High High (requires formal ISMS) Low-Medium (start with IG1)
Ideal Org Size Mid-large, any industry Any size seeking certification Small-mid, or starting a security program

Recommended Selection Logic

IF regulatory requirement mandates specific framework --> Use that framework
ELIF organization needs certification --> ISO 27001
ELIF organization is starting from scratch --> CIS Controls v8 (begin with IG1)
ELIF organization needs comprehensive program assessment --> NIST CSF 2.0
ELIF defense contractor or US government supply chain --> NIST CSF 2.0 + CMMC
ELSE --> NIST CSF 2.0 as primary, map to ISO 27001/CIS as needed

2. NIST CSF 2.0 Maturity Assessment

Assess current maturity across all 6 functions, 22 categories.

Maturity Tier Definitions

Tier Name Definition
1 Partial Ad hoc, reactive. Risk management not formalized. Limited awareness.
2 Risk Informed Risk management practices approved but may not be organization-wide. Some processes defined.
3 Repeatable Formal policies and procedures, consistently implemented. Regular updates. Risk-informed decisions.
4 Adaptive Organization adapts practices based on lessons learned and predictive indicators. Continuous improvement.

NIST CSF 2.0 Assessment Matrix

Function Category Category ID Current Tier Target Tier Gap Priority
GOVERN Organizational Context GV.OC [1-4] [1-4] [0-3] [C/H/M/L]
GOVERN Risk Management Strategy GV.RM [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
GOVERN Roles, Responsibilities, Authorities GV.RR [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
GOVERN Policy GV.PO [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
GOVERN Oversight GV.OV [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
GOVERN Cybersecurity Supply Chain Risk Mgmt GV.SC [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
IDENTIFY Asset Management ID.AM [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
IDENTIFY Risk Assessment ID.RA [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
IDENTIFY Improvement ID.IM [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
PROTECT Identity Management, Auth, Access Control PR.AA [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
PROTECT Awareness and Training PR.AT [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
PROTECT Data Security PR.DS [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
PROTECT Platform Security PR.PS [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
PROTECT Technology Infrastructure Resilience PR.IR [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
DETECT Continuous Monitoring DE.CM [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
DETECT Adverse Event Analysis DE.AE [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
RESPOND Incident Management RS.MA [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
RESPOND Incident Analysis RS.AN [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
RESPOND Incident Response Reporting and Communication RS.CO [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
RESPOND Incident Mitigation RS.MI [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
RECOVER Incident Recovery Plan Execution RC.RP [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]
RECOVER Incident Recovery Communication RC.CO [1-4] [1-4] [0-3]

Overall Maturity Score

Function Score = Average of Category Tiers within Function
Overall Score = Weighted Average of Function Scores

Recommended Weights:
  Govern: 15%   Identify: 15%   Protect: 25%
  Detect: 20%   Respond: 15%   Recover: 10%

3. Threat Landscape Analysis

Threat Actor Profiling

Actor Type Motivation Capability Targeting Relevance to Organization
Nation-State (APT) Espionage, disruption, IP theft Very High Specific sectors: defense, energy, finance, healthcare, tech [High/Medium/Low]
Organized Crime Financial gain High Opportunistic + targeted (high-value data, ransomware) [High/Medium/Low]
Hacktivists Ideological, reputational damage Medium Visible brands, controversial industries [High/Medium/Low]
Insider Threat Financial, grievance, negligence Varies Direct access to sensitive data and systems [High/Medium/Low]
Competitors Competitive advantage, IP theft Medium Trade secrets, customer data, pricing [High/Medium/Low]
Script Kiddies Notoriety, curiosity Low Opportunistic (unpatched, exposed systems) [High/Medium/Low]

Attack Vector Mapping

Attack Vector Likelihood Common Techniques Primary Targets Current Defense Maturity
Phishing / Social Engineering Very High Spear phishing, BEC, vishing, smishing Email users, executives, finance [1-4]
Ransomware High Encryption, double extortion, RaaS Endpoints, file servers, backups [1-4]
Supply Chain Compromise High Software supply chain, vendor access abuse Third-party integrations, SaaS [1-4]
Credential Theft / Abuse High Credential stuffing, password spray, MFA bypass Identity systems, VPN, cloud [1-4]
Vulnerability Exploitation High Zero-day, N-day, unpatched systems Public-facing applications, infrastructure [1-4]
Insider Threat Medium Data exfiltration, privilege abuse, sabotage Sensitive data stores, admin systems [1-4]
Cloud Misconfiguration Medium Exposed storage, overprivileged IAM, public APIs Cloud workloads, storage, databases [1-4]
DDoS Medium Volumetric, application-layer Public-facing services, DNS [1-4]
Physical Access Low Tailgating, USB drops, device theft Offices, data centers, laptops [1-4]

4. Vulnerability Assessment Methodology

Assessment Layers

Layer Method Frequency Tools/Approach
Network infrastructure Automated vulnerability scanning Monthly (external), Quarterly (internal) Nessus, Qualys, Rapid7
Web applications DAST + SAST + manual testing Per release + quarterly Burp Suite, OWASP ZAP, Checkmarx
Cloud configuration Cloud security posture management (CSPM) Continuous Prisma Cloud, Wiz, AWS Config
Endpoint EDR telemetry + vulnerability scanning Continuous + monthly CrowdStrike, SentinelOne, Microsoft Defender
Identity and access Access review + privilege audit Quarterly SailPoint, Azure AD access reviews
Third-party / SaaS Vendor security assessment + SaaS posture At onboarding + annually SecurityScorecard, BitSight, questionnaires

Vulnerability Severity Classification (CVSS-Aligned)

Severity CVSS Score Remediation SLA Escalation if SLA Missed
Critical 9.0 - 10.0 24-72 hours CISO immediately
High 7.0 - 8.9 7-14 days CISO weekly
Medium 4.0 - 6.9 30-60 days Security team lead
Low 0.1 - 3.9 90 days or next patch cycle Standard reporting
Informational 0.0 Track only N/A

5. Crown Jewel Analysis

Identify and classify the organization's most critical digital assets.

Asset Classification Matrix

Asset Category Examples Confidentiality Impact Integrity Impact Availability Impact Overall Criticality
Customer PII/PHI Customer database, health records Catastrophic Major Major Critical
Financial data Banking credentials, financial statements pre-release Catastrophic Catastrophic Major Critical
Intellectual property Source code, formulas, designs, trade secrets Catastrophic Major Moderate Critical
Authentication systems Active Directory, SSO, PKI, MFA infrastructure Major Catastrophic Catastrophic Critical
Core business applications ERP, CRM, manufacturing systems Moderate Major Catastrophic High
Employee PII HRIS, payroll, benefits data Major Moderate Moderate High
Communication systems Email, messaging, collaboration platforms Moderate Moderate Major High
Public-facing systems Website, customer portal, mobile apps Moderate Major Major High
Internal documentation Policies, procedures, internal wikis Low Moderate Low Medium
Development/test systems Non-production environments Low Low Low Low

Crown Jewel Prioritization

Crown Jewel Score = (Confidentiality Impact x 0.4) + (Integrity Impact x 0.3) + (Availability Impact x 0.3)

Scoring: Catastrophic = 5, Major = 4, Moderate = 3, Minor = 2, Negligible = 1
Crown Jewels = Assets scoring >= 4.0

6. Control Gap Analysis and Remediation Prioritization

Gap Analysis Matrix

Control Area Required Control Current State Gap Description Risk If Unaddressed Remediation Effort Priority Score
[Area] [Control description] [Implemented/Partial/Missing] [Specific gap] [Critical/High/Med/Low] [Low/Med/High] [Calculated]

Remediation Priority Score Calculation

Priority Score = Risk Impact (1-5) x Likelihood of Exploitation (1-5) / Implementation Effort (1-5)

Score > 5.0  --> Immediate (Sprint 1)
Score 3.0-5.0 --> Near-term (30-90 days)
Score 1.0-3.0 --> Medium-term (90-180 days)
Score < 1.0  --> Long-term (180-365 days)

Quick Wins Identification (High Impact, Low Effort)

Quick Win Effort Risk Reduction Typical Cost
Enable MFA on all external-facing accounts Low Very High $2-5/user/month
Disable legacy authentication protocols Low High $0 (configuration)
Implement email authentication (SPF, DKIM, DMARC) Low High $0-500/year
Deploy endpoint detection and response (EDR) Medium Very High $5-15/endpoint/month
Implement privileged access management (PAM) Medium Very High $20K-100K+
Enable cloud security posture management (CSPM) Medium High $10K-50K/year
Conduct phishing simulation and training Low Medium $3-8/user/year
Review and restrict admin accounts Low High $0 (process)

7. Cyber Risk Quantification (FAIR Methodology)

Factor Analysis of Information Risk (FAIR) Framework

Risk ($) = Loss Event Frequency (LEF) x Loss Magnitude (LM)

Where:
  LEF = Threat Event Frequency (TEF) x Vulnerability (Vuln)
  TEF = Contact Frequency (CF) x Probability of Action (PoA)
  LM  = Primary Loss + Secondary Loss

Primary Loss = Productivity Loss + Response Cost + Replacement Cost + Fines/Judgments
Secondary Loss = Reputation Damage x Secondary Loss Event Frequency (SLEF)

FAIR Risk Scenario Template

FAIR Factor Low Estimate Most Likely High Estimate Basis for Estimate
Threat Event Frequency (per year) [#] [#] [#] [Industry data, threat intelligence, historical incidents]
Vulnerability (probability of success given attempt) [0-1] [0-1] [0-1] [Control effectiveness, pentest results, maturity assessment]
Loss Event Frequency (per year) [Calc] [Calc] [Calc] TEF x Vulnerability
Primary Loss ($) [$] [$] [$] [Direct cost estimation]
- Productivity Loss [$] [$] [$] [Hourly revenue x downtime hours]
- Response Cost [$] [$] [$] [IR firm, forensics, legal, overtime]
- Replacement Cost [$] [$] [$] [System rebuild, data restoration]
- Fines and Judgments [$] [$] [$] [Regulatory penalty ranges, litigation estimates]
Secondary Loss ($) [$] [$] [$] [Reputation, customer churn]
- Customer Notification Cost [$] [$] [$] [$5-50/record industry average]
- Credit Monitoring [$] [$] [$] [$10-30/person x affected population]
- Customer Churn [$] [$] [$] [Churn rate increase x customer LTV]
- Brand/Reputation [$] [$] [$] [Revenue impact estimate]
Annualized Loss Expectancy [$] [$] [$] LEF x Total Loss Magnitude

Loss Exceedance Curve Output

Probability of Exceeding Annual Loss Amount
90% (likely exceeds) $[amount]
50% (median scenario) $[amount]
10% (worst case plausible) $[amount]
5% (tail risk) $[amount]

8. Third-Party / Supply Chain Cyber Risk Assessment

Vendor Risk Tiering

Tier Criteria Assessment Rigor Frequency
Critical Access to crown jewels, critical business function, > $1M spend, or single-source dependency Full security assessment + onsite/virtual audit + continuous monitoring Annual assessment + continuous
High Access to sensitive data, important business function, $100K-$1M spend Detailed questionnaire (SIG/CAIQ) + evidence review + external scoring Annual
Medium Limited data access, replaceable function, $10K-$100K spend Standard questionnaire + external risk rating review Biennial
Low No data access, commodity service, < $10K spend External risk rating only At onboarding

Third-Party Assessment Checklist (Critical/High Tier)

Domain Key Questions Evidence Required
Governance Security program, CISO role, board reporting Security policy, org chart
Access Control SSO, MFA, privileged access, access reviews Access control policy, PAM evidence
Data Protection Encryption (transit + rest), DLP, classification Encryption standards, DLP policy
Incident Response IR plan, breach notification SLA, past incidents IR plan, notification procedures
Business Continuity DR plan, RTO/RPO, testing frequency DR test results
Compliance SOC 2 Type II, ISO 27001, relevant certifications Current audit reports, certificates
Vulnerability Management Scanning frequency, patching SLAs, pentest schedule Scan reports (redacted), pentest summary
Subcontractor Management Fourth-party risk assessment process Subcontractor policy, list of critical subs

9. Incident Response Readiness Evaluation

IR Readiness Scorecard

Capability Maturity Level (1-4) Evidence Gap
IR plan documented and approved [1-4] [Plan document, approval date] [Gap if any]
IR team identified with roles and contact info [1-4] [Team roster, contact card]
IR playbooks for top threat scenarios [1-4] [Playbook documents]
Detection capability (SIEM, EDR, NDR) [1-4] [Tool inventory, coverage map]
Forensic capability (in-house or retained) [1-4] [Retainer agreement, tool inventory]
Legal/breach counsel pre-retained [1-4] [Retainer agreement]
Cyber insurance in force [1-4] [Policy summary]
Tabletop exercise conducted (last 12 months) [1-4] [Exercise report]
Technical IR drill conducted (last 12 months) [1-4] [Drill report]
Communication templates pre-approved [1-4] [Template documents]
Regulatory notification procedures documented [1-4] [Procedure document per jurisdiction]
Backup and recovery tested [1-4] [Recovery test results]

IR Readiness Score: Sum of all scores / 48 (max) = [X]%

Score Range Readiness Level Recommendation
85-100% Advanced Maintain and continuously improve
70-84% Established Address specific gaps identified
50-69% Developing Significant investment needed; prioritize detection and playbooks
< 50% Initial IR program build required; engage external support

10. Security Architecture Review Checklist

Network Architecture

Control Expected State Current State Finding
Network segmentation (microsegmentation for crown jewels) Implemented [Status] [Finding]
Zero trust network access (ZTNA) for remote access Implemented or planned [Status]
Web application firewall (WAF) on all public apps Implemented [Status]
DDoS protection on public-facing services Implemented [Status]
DNS security (DNSSEC, DNS filtering) Implemented [Status]
East-west traffic monitoring Implemented [Status]

Identity and Access

Control Expected State Current State Finding
MFA on all accounts (phishing-resistant preferred) Enforced [Status] [Finding]
SSO for all SaaS and enterprise applications Implemented [Status]
Privileged access management (PAM) with session recording Implemented [Status]
Just-in-time (JIT) access for admin privileges Implemented [Status]
Automated access provisioning/deprovisioning Implemented [Status]
Service account management and rotation Implemented [Status]

Data Protection

Control Expected State Current State Finding
Encryption at rest (AES-256 or equivalent) All sensitive data [Status] [Finding]
Encryption in transit (TLS 1.2+ minimum) All connections [Status]
Data loss prevention (DLP) Implemented at key egress points [Status]
Data classification and labeling Implemented [Status]
Backup encryption and immutability Implemented [Status]
Key management (HSM or cloud KMS) Implemented [Status]

Endpoint and Cloud

Control Expected State Current State Finding
EDR on all endpoints (servers + workstations) 100% coverage [Status] [Finding]
Mobile device management (MDM) All corporate/BYOD devices [Status]
CSPM for all cloud environments Implemented [Status]
Container security (image scanning, runtime protection) If using containers [Status]
Infrastructure as code (IaC) security scanning If using IaC [Status]
Cloud workload protection platform (CWPP) If using cloud compute [Status]

11. Cybersecurity Investment Prioritization

Risk Reduction per Dollar (RRPD) Framework

RRPD = Annualized Risk Reduction ($) / Total Cost of Ownership (3-year)

Where:
  Annualized Risk Reduction = ALE(before control) - ALE(after control)
  Total Cost = Implementation + Annual Operation x 3 + Training

Higher RRPD = Better investment

Investment Prioritization Matrix

Investment ALE Before ALE After Risk Reduction 3-Year TCO RRPD Ratio Rank
[Security control/tool] [$] [$] [$] [$] [X.X] [#]

Investment Decision Categories

RRPD Ratio Decision Justification
> 3.0 Strong invest Risk reduction far exceeds cost
1.5 - 3.0 Invest Positive ROI on risk reduction
1.0 - 1.5 Consider Marginal return; evaluate alternatives
0.5 - 1.0 Defer unless regulatory Cost exceeds quantified risk reduction
< 0.5 Do not invest Poor risk-adjusted return; seek alternatives

12. Regulatory Mapping

Cybersecurity Regulation Cross-Reference

Control Domain NIST CSF 2.0 SOC 2 (TSC) GDPR HIPAA PCI-DSS 4.0 ISO 27001
Access Control PR.AA CC6.1-6.3 Art. 32 164.312(a)(1) Req 7-8 A.9
Data Encryption PR.DS CC6.1, CC6.7 Art. 32 164.312(a)(2)(iv) Req 3-4 A.10
Logging/Monitoring DE.CM, DE.AE CC7.1-7.2 Art. 32 164.312(b) Req 10 A.12.4
Incident Response RS.MA, RS.AN CC7.3-7.5 Art. 33-34 164.308(a)(6) Req 12.10 A.16
Vulnerability Mgmt ID.RA, PR.PS CC7.1 Art. 32 164.308(a)(1) Req 6, 11 A.12.6
Vendor Management GV.SC CC9.2 Art. 28 164.308(b)(1) Req 12.8 A.15
Security Training PR.AT CC1.4 Art. 39 164.308(a)(5) Req 12.6 A.7.2.2
Risk Assessment ID.RA, GV.RM CC3.1-3.2 Art. 35 164.308(a)(1)(ii)(A) Req 12.2 A.8.2
Business Continuity PR.IR, RC.RP A1.1-A1.3 Art. 32 164.308(a)(7) Req 12.10 A.17
Data Retention/Disposal PR.DS CC6.5 Art. 5(1)(e), 17 164.310(d)(2) Req 3.1, 9.4 A.8.3

Compliance Gap Heat Map

Regulation Current Compliance Gap Count (Critical) Gap Count (High) Gap Count (Medium) Overall Status
[Regulation] [%] [#] [#] [#] [Red/Yellow/Green]

Output Template

## Cybersecurity Risk Assessment: [Organization]

### Assessment Parameters
| Field | Detail |
|---|---|
| Framework(s) | [NIST CSF 2.0 / ISO 27001 / CIS Controls v8] |
| Scope | [Enterprise / specific systems] |
| Assessment Date | [Date] |
| Assessor | [Name/team] |
| Classification | [Confidential] |

### Executive Summary
[Overall cybersecurity posture, maturity score, top 3-5 critical findings,
headline risk quantification, investment recommendation]

### Maturity Assessment Summary
| NIST CSF Function | Current Tier | Target Tier | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Govern | [1-4] | [Target] | [Gap] |
| Identify | [1-4] | [Target] | [Gap] |
| Protect | [1-4] | [Target] | [Gap] |
| Detect | [1-4] | [Target] | [Gap] |
| Respond | [1-4] | [Target] | [Gap] |
| Recover | [1-4] | [Target] | [Gap] |
| **Overall** | [Weighted] | [Target] | [Gap] |

### Threat Landscape
[Threat actor relevance assessment, top attack vectors, industry-specific threats]

### Crown Jewel Analysis
[Critical asset inventory with classification and current protection assessment]

### Control Gap Analysis
[Prioritized gaps with remediation recommendations]

### Cyber Risk Quantification (FAIR)
| Risk Scenario | Annualized Loss Expectancy | 90th Percentile Loss |
|---|---|---|
| [Scenario 1] | [$X] | [$X] |
| [Scenario 2] | [$X] | [$X] |
| **Total Cyber Risk Exposure** | **[$X]** | **[$X]** |

### Third-Party Risk Summary
[Vendor tier distribution, critical vendor assessment status, key findings]

### Investment Roadmap
| Phase | Investment | Cost | Risk Reduction | RRPD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Immediate (0-30 days) | [Quick wins] | [$X] | [$X] | [X.X] |
| Near-term (30-90 days) | [High-priority controls] | [$X] | [$X] | [X.X] |
| Medium-term (90-180 days) | [Program maturity] | [$X] | [$X] | [X.X] |
| Long-term (180-365 days) | [Advanced capabilities] | [$X] | [$X] | [X.X] |

### Regulatory Compliance Status
[Compliance gap summary per applicable regulation]

### Appendices
- A: Detailed NIST CSF 2.0 assessment (all 106 subcategories)
- B: Vulnerability scan summary (redacted)
- C: Third-party vendor risk register
- D: FAIR model assumptions and data sources
- E: Regulatory mapping detail

Quality Checks

  • Framework selection is justified based on organizational context, not assumed.
  • NIST CSF 2.0 assessment covers all 6 functions including Govern (added in CSF 2.0).
  • Threat landscape analysis is specific to the organization's industry and profile, not generic.
  • Crown jewel analysis identifies specific critical assets with CIA impact ratings.
  • Control gap analysis includes both the gap description and a prioritized remediation recommendation.
  • FAIR risk quantification uses ranges (low/most likely/high), not single-point estimates.
  • Third-party risk assessment tiers vendors by data access and business criticality.
  • Incident response readiness evaluation produces a scored assessment, not just a checklist.
  • Security architecture review covers network, identity, data, endpoint, and cloud layers.
  • Investment prioritization uses Risk Reduction per Dollar (RRPD) to rank spending decisions.
  • Regulatory mapping cross-references specific control requirements across all applicable regulations.
  • Vulnerability remediation SLAs are defined by CVSS severity with escalation procedures.