china-catalyst-calendar

china-catalyst-calendar

Purpose

Build and maintain a A-share Catalyst Calendar tracking upcoming events that could materially impact stock prices within a coverage universe.

Catalyst Types (A-share Specific)

1. Earnings & Financial Reports

Event	Typical Timing	Notes
Earnings Preview	1-4 weeks before	Mandatory if variance >50% from prior
Quarterly Report	1 month after quarter-end	10-day grace period possible
Semi-Annual Report	2 months after H1	15-day grace period
Annual Report	4 months after year-end	Most important event of the year
Earnings Call	Same day or next trading day	SSE e-Interaction / SZSE Interactive Easy

2. Regulatory & Policy Events

Event	Impact	Typical Timing
PBOC MLF/LPR Operations	High (liquidity, rates)	15th of each month (MLF)
PBOC RRR Cut/Rate Cut	Very high	Ad-hoc, State Council Information Office Press Conference
State Council Policy Release	Sector-specific	Ad-hoc
Ministry Regulatory Policy (NMPA, MIIT, etc.)	Industry-specific	Ad-hoc
Volume-Based Procurement Results	Pharma/medtech	Quarterly cycles
Industry Access Policy Changes	Sector-specific	Ad-hoc
Antitrust Investigation	Specific companies	Ad-hoc

3. Corporate Events

Event	Impact	Notes
Shareholders' Meeting (AGM)	Low-medium	Voting on key items
Dividend/Bonus Shares/Capitalization (dividend/rights)	Medium	Ex-dividend date matters
Lock-Up Expiry	Medium-high	Watch large blocks
Shareholder Transactions Announcement	Low-medium	5% threshold triggers disclosure
Share Buyback	Low-medium	Implementation tracking
M&A Announcements	High	Trading Halt until announcement
Seasoned Equity Offering/Rights Issue	High	Dilution impact
Convertible Bond Issuance/Conversion	Medium	Conversion tracking

4. Sector / Industry Events

Event	Example Sectors	Notes
Industry Expo/Forum	New Energy, Semiconductors, Pharmaceuticals	Networking, product announcements
Policy Seminar	Environmental Protection, Education, Internet	Policy direction signals
Industry Association Data Release	Automotive, Solar, Wind Power	Monthly/quarterly stats
International Expo (CES, IFA, etc.)	Consumer Electronics	New product launches

5. Macro Data Releases

Indicator	Frequency	Impact
PMI (Manufacturing/Non-Manufacturing)	Monthly (1st)	Market-wide
CPI / PPI	Monthly (9-10th)	Rates, commodities
Aggregate Financing / M2	Monthly (10-15th)	Liquidity
Foreign Exchange Reserves	Monthly	FX sentiment
Industrial Value Added	Monthly	Growth indicator
Retail Sales Data	Monthly	Consumption
Employment Data	Quarterly	Labor market

Data Sources (Multi-Tier)

Tier 0 — Wind (most comprehensive paid data)

• Coverage: A-shares/Hong Kong and US stocks/funds/indices/bonds/macroeconomics/research reports/analysis (44 tools)
• MCP Service:wind-mcp(requires WIND_API_KEY key, starting with ak_ )
• Advantages: broadest market coverage, most comprehensive data, includes research reports and quantitative analysis
• Key Application:https://aifinmarket.wind.com.cn/#/home

Tier 1 - Tonghuashun iFind (paid)

ifind_get_stock_events(query)  -> Key corporate events, dividends, buybacks
ifind_search_notice(query)     -> Announcement search
ifind_search_news(query)       -> Related news
ifind_get_stock_info(ticker)   -> Company profile, share structure

Tier 2 - AkShare (free, fallback)

Company-Specific

# AkShare MCP
get_financials(ticker, "income", "annual")   → Historical earnings pattern
get_quote(ticker)                            → Current trading status
get_stock_info(ticker)                       → Company basic info

# Web sources for calendar data
# - 巨潮公告搜索: cninfo.com.cn
# - 上交所公告: sse.com.cn
# - 深交所公告: szse.cn

Market-Wide

get_index_data("000001")  # 上证指数 context
get_stock_news(ticker="") # General market news

Data source mode: IFIND_DATA_SOURCE_MODE=ifind-only for iFind-only mode.

Workflow

Step 1: Define Coverage Universe

Identify the stocks and sectors to track. Typical A-share coverage universe:

• 50-200 names
• Organized by sector/industry
• Priority tiers (P1 = must-track, P2 = watchlist)

Step 2: Build Calendar Entries

For each catalyst, record:

{
  "date": "2024-04-25",
  "type": "earnings",
  "subtype": "季报",
  "ticker": "{{TICKER}}",
  "company": "{{COMPANY_NAME}}",
  "importance": "high",
  "notes": "Q1 2024 results; watch 批价 and inventory",
  "status": "confirmed"
}

Catalyst types in JSON:

• earnings — quarterly/semi/annual reports
• earnings_call — Earnings Call
• regulatory — Regulatory Policy Release
• policy — Macro Policy (PBOC, State Council)
• corporate — Corporate Events (Dividends, Lock-Up Expiry, M&A)
• macro_data — Economic Data Release
• sector_event — Industry Expo/Forum
• lockup_expiry — Lock-Up Expiry

Step 3: Prioritize Catalysts

Importance levels:

• Critical: Likely to move stock >10% (earnings, M&A, major policy)
• High: Likely to move stock 5-10% (regulatory decisions, industry data)
• Medium: Watch item, context-setting (dividend, conference participation)
• Low: Background noise (routine filings, minor announcements)

Step 4: Pre-Catalyst Preparation

1 week before critical catalysts:

• Pull latest data and consensus
• Prepare scenario analysis
• Draft preliminary positioning note
• Alert stakeholders if high-impact

1 day before critical catalysts:

• Final data check
• Confirm release timing (morning vs afternoon)
• Prepare pre-market positioning note
• Set monitoring alerts

Step 5: Post-Catalyst Update

After catalyst passes:

• Record actual outcome
• Compare vs scenario framework
• Update price target / thesis if material
• Move to "completed" section
• Flag next catalyst in queue

Calendar Format

Weekly View

【本周催化剂日历】[YYYY-MM-DD 至 YYYY-MM-DD]

周一 [Date]
  - [Time] [Ticker] [Company] — [Event type] — [Importance]
  - [Time] [Macro event] — [Impact assessment]

周二 [Date]
  ...

本周重点：
- [Top 2-3 catalysts to watch]
- [Market-wide risk events]

Monthly View

【X月重要事件日历】

财报窗口:
- [Week 1]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]
- [Week 2]: [Sector] Q[X] results: [List of companies]

政策窗口:
- [Date]: [Policy event] — [Expected impact]

解禁窗口:
- [Date]: [Ticker] — [Amount] shares unlocking — [Risk assessment]

宏观数据:
- [Date]: [Indicator] — [Consensus] — [Previous]

Upcoming Catalysts Table

Date	Company	Event	Importance	Watch Item
{{DATE}}	{{COMPANY_NAME}} ({{TICKER}})	{{EVENT_TYPE}}	{{IMPORTANCE}}	{{WATCH_ITEMS}}
Example	Kweichow Moutai (600519)	Q1 Annual Report	Critical	Wholesale Price, Sales Momentum
04-30	MIIT	Monthly New Energy Vehicle Data	Medium	Sales Volume, Penetration Rate

China-Specific Considerations

Earnings Calendar Patterns

Season	Months	Key Notes
Q1 earnings	Late April	Annual Report + Q1 Quarterly Report Overlap, Information-Intensive
H1 earnings	Late August	Semi-Annual Report Window, Dividend Proposal Announcement
Q3 earnings	Late October	Q3 Report, Full-Year Forecast Adjustment
Annual earnings	Jan-April	Intensive Annual Report Releases, Dividend Plans

Lock-up Expiry

• IPO lock-up: typically 12 months
• Private placement: typically 6-18 months
• Equity incentive lock-up: varies by plan
• High lock-up expiry → potential selling pressure

Risk assessment:

• Large percentage of float unlocking (>5%) → high risk
• Concentrated holders (single entity) → higher impact
• Company in downtrend → higher probability of sale

Regulatory Calendar

Recurring policy events:

• Central Economic Work Conference: Dec
• Two Sessions / NPC & CPPCC: Mar
• Politburo meeting: Monthly (economics discussed ~quarterly)
• State Council Info Office presser: Ad-hoc
• Central Bank Monetary Policy Implementation Report: Quarterly

Dividend Calendar

• Record date: critical for dividend capture
• Ex-dividend date: price adjusts
• Dividend implementation announcement: typically 2-4 weeks after AGM approval
• High bonus issue: historically market-positive event

Integration with Other Skills

Related Skill	Integration Point
china-earnings-analysis	Post-earnings catalyst review
china-earnings-preview	Pre-earnings scenario setup
china-thesis-tracker	Catalyst milestone tracking
china-morning-note	Daily catalyst briefing
china-market-researcher	Sector catalyst themes

Quality Checks

Before delivering:

• Calendar covers 4-12 weeks ahead
• All critical catalysts flagged
• Dates verified against official sources
• Importance levels assigned consistently
• Watch items specific and actionable
• Pre-catalyst preparation tasks defined