dip_buy_decision_skill

Dip Buy Decision Skill

Data dependencies and execution prerequisites

It is recommended to use Wind wind-mcp-skill to obtain underlying data. Before execution, first check whether wind-mcp-skillalready exists locally; if not, prompt the user to install:

# GitHub
npx skills add Wind-Information-Co-Ltd/wind-skills --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y

# Gitee 镜像（国内）
npx skills add https://gitee.com/wind_info/wind-skills.git --skill wind-mcp-skill -g -y

Skill positioning

This skill is used to determine "whether this decline is an opportunity or the beginning of trouble." The output focus is not to encourage blind bottom-fishing, but to help users distinguish normal pullbacks within a trend, event-driven mispricing, structural weakening, and pure decline continuation, and to write the absorption action into a trial-and-error plan with boundaries.

Function overview

The core function of this skill is: determine whether a pullback can be absorbed and how to absorb it.

It emphasizes first determining the nature of the pullback, then deciding whether to make a trial attempt, how to phase in, and when to abandon, helping users avoid misjudging all declines as opportunities.

Use cases

• After a strong stock pulls back, the user wants to determine whether a dip-buying window has arrived.
• After financial reports, announcements, or market fluctuations, the stock price falls rapidly, and it is necessary to distinguish mispricing from a breakdown.
• The user wants to position during a pullback but does not want dip buying to turn into catching a falling knife.
• The team needs to manage "worth absorbing" and "observe only" separately.

Working principles

1. Before dip buying, the nature of the pullback must first be determined, rather than first deciding whether to buy.
2. Only when the trend is not broken, the logic is not broken, and the environment is not broken is there value in discussing absorption.
3. Dip buying is more suitable for phased trial and error, not for a one-time heavy position judgment.
4. Abandonment criteria must be written clearly in advance to avoid adding more as the price keeps falling.
5. The main text only presents the judgment basis and the plan, and does not discuss the internal implementation process.

Execution process

Step 1: Confirm the pullback background and decline type

First determine which category this decline belongs to:

• Technical pullback after a strong rise
• Sentiment-driven decline after news or financial reports
• Passive drag caused by systemic market fluctuations
• Trend destruction after the logic begins to weaken

Only after identifying the decline type does subsequent absorption become meaningful.

Step 2: Check whether the original upward logic still holds

The premise for dip buying to hold is "the value lies in the pullback, not in deterioration":

• Whether the core driver is still present
• Whether the sector or theme still has activity
• Whether the market's disagreement over the original logic is only a short-term amplification
• Whether new negative variables have emerged that change the original judgment

Step 3: Identify the absorption zone and observation zone

Write clearly "where it can be watched after falling to":

• Which levels may form meaningful support
• Which areas are only continuation pauses and cannot be absorbed hastily
• How far the current price is from a reasonable observation zone
• If the price directly breaks below the observation zone, how should it be reassessed

Step 4: Judge the pullback quality and evidence of stabilization

Not every deep decline is worth buying; more important is how it falls:

• Whether volume is being released or is out of control during the pullback
• Whether the decline is an orderly pullback or one-sided stampede
• Whether positive clues appear, such as stabilization, shrinking volume, or renewed absorption
• If there is no evidence of stabilization, whether to wait for confirmation or directly abandon

Step 5: Design the trial-and-error approach and batching rhythm

For buying on dips, position rhythm should be emphasized even more:

• What level of trial-and-error task should the first entry bear
• Under which confirmations is a second entry allowed later
• If the pullback continues to deepen, should trading be paused rather than averaging down
• Whether the total planned position should be significantly lower than for breakout-chasing trades

Step 6: Set abandonment criteria and failure boundaries

The most important thing in a buy-on-dip decision is not the buy point, but the stop point:

• After which position or which type of information appears should taking over be abandoned
• Whether consecutive weak rebounds indicate that the takeover logic is invalid
• If the environment deteriorates at the same time, whether it is necessary to terminate early
• When to determine that this is not a pullback but trend damage

Step 7: Form the final buy-on-dip decision draft

The final output should help users know "whether they can take over, where to take over, how much to take first, and under what circumstances they should no longer take over." The main text should retain the judgment of the pullback nature, the takeover zone, the rhythm, and the abandonment criteria.

Output structure

---

Buy-on-Dip Decision Plan ({YYYY-MM-DD})

I. 30-second conclusion

• Trading target: {stock name}
• Pullback nature: {healthy pullback / emotional mispricing / trend damage risk}
• Operational bias: {can trial and error / wait for stabilization / do not take over}
• Observation range: {content}
• Abandonment criteria: {one sentence}

II. Pullback judgment

Dimension	Judgment	Impact on conclusion
Integrity of original logic	{content}	{content}
Sector environment	{content}	{content}
Pullback quality	{content}	{content}
Evidence of stabilization	{content}	{content}

III. Execution rhythm

• Conditions for first trial-and-error entry: {content}
• Conditions for second takeover: {content}
• Conditions for no further addition: {content}

IV. Failure boundaries

• {boundary 1}
• {boundary 2}
• {boundary 3}

V. Risk warning

• {risk 1}
• {risk 2}
• {risk 3}

---

Quality requirements

1. The nature of the pullback must be judged first, then takeover suggestions can be given.
2. Buy-on-dip suggestions must be paired with batching rhythm and abandonment criteria.
3. A distinction must be made between "the pullback has reached its target" and "the trend has deteriorated."
4. If there is insufficient evidence of stabilization, it should be clearly recommended to continue waiting.
5. The output should reduce the probability of catching a falling knife, rather than glorifying left-side trading.