Overview
This skill focuses onin-depth diagnosis of stock technicals, going beyond basic market updates to provide logical assessment based on multiple dimensions. Through comprehensive analysis of trend structure, volume-price coordination, key levels, and technical indicators, and incorporatingfree-float sizeandindustry characteristicsfor adjustment, it provides users with an objective assessment of trend strength and reference for key trading ranges.
Data Toolset (gildata-aidata)
| Tool Name | Core Function | Key Parameters |
|---|---|---|
AShareLiveQuote |
Real-Time Quotes and Market Capitalization | Obtain current price, turnover rate, volume ratio, total market capitalization, and circulating market capitalization (to judge float size) |
StockQuoteTechIndex |
Full Overview of Technical Indicators | Obtain MA, MACD, KDJ, RSI, BOLL indicators and support/resistance level values |
StockRangeQuotation |
Range Statistics | Calculate recent highs and lows, amplitude, and turnover amount to assist in judging support and resistance |
StockMultiPeriodQuote |
Multi-Period Resonance | Compare daily/weekly/monthly trends to judge the major-level direction |
Core Analysis Dimensions
1. Trend Diagnosis
- Moving Average System:
- Bullish/Bearish Alignment: MA5>MA10>MA20 indicates strong bullish alignment; the reverse indicates bearish alignment.
- Trend Slope: The greater the upward divergence angle of the moving averages, the stronger the trend.
- High-Low Structure:
- Ascending Channel: Lows continue to rise, and highs continue to refresh.
- Descending Channel: Highs continue to decline, and lows continue to be broken.
- Multi-Period Resonance: The daily trend must defer to the weekly trend. If the daily chart rebounds but the weekly chart is bearish, it is regarded as a "rebound" rather than a "reversal".
2. Volume-Price Analysis
- Volume-Price Coordination Logic:
- Rising Volume with Rising Price: Healthy rise, with high capital recognition.
- Rising Price with Shrinking Volume: Momentum weakens, and caution is needed against a bull trap (unless it is a highly controlled large-cap stock).
- Falling Price with Expanding Volume: Panic selling emerges, and the trend may deteriorate.
- Extremely Low Volume and Price: Extremely low volume often corresponds to a phased bottom.
- Turnover Rate Interpretation (Combined with Float Size):
- Large-Cap Stocks (>100 billion): A turnover rate >3% is active, and >5% is extremely active.
- Small and Mid-Cap Stocks (<20 billion): A turnover rate >7% is active, and >15% is characteristic of hot money relay buying.
3. Support and Resistance
- Dynamic Support/Resistance:
- Moving Average Support: MA20 (lifeline) and MA60 (decision line) are key defensive levels.
- Bollinger Bands: The upper band is resistance, the lower band is support, and the middle band is the strength/weakness dividing line.
- Static Support/Resistance:
- Previous Highs/Lows: The highest/lowest price in the range.
- Chip Dense Zone: The area of concentrated prior trading volume (estimated from the range's turnover).
- Support-Resistance Conversion: After breaking above a resistance level, resistance becomes support; after breaking below a support level, support becomes resistance.
4. Technical Indicator Analysis (Indicators)
- MACD: A golden cross above the zero axis is a strong buy point; top/bottom divergence is an important reversal warning signal.
- KDJ/RSI: Used to judge short-term overbought (>80) or oversold (<20) conditions.
- BOLL: Widening bands indicate accelerating trend changes; narrowing bands indicate consolidation.
Adjustment Logic Based on Individual Stock Characteristics
In analysis, the weighting must be adjusted based on thefree-float market cap:
-
Large-cap blue chips/core assets (free-float market cap > 100 billion)
- Characteristics: Stable price action, institution-dominated, high effectiveness of technical indicators.
- Analytical Focus: Focus on MA60/MA120 long-term moving average support, ignore short-term KDJ fluctuations. For volume-price relationship, pay more attention to "moderate volume expansion".
- Industry Attributes: Combine with industry prosperity (e.g., for banking and energy, look at dividends and macro; for technology, look at growth).
-
Small/mid-cap/thematic stocks (free-float market cap < 20 billion)
- Characteristics: High elasticity, dominated by hot money/sentiment, prone to extreme moves.
- Analytical Focus: Focus on turnover rate and abnormal volume. Technical indicators tend to become distorted (numbed), so sentiment factors (e.g., consecutive limit-up height) must be considered.
- Industry Attributes: Combine with theme热度 (e.g., AI, low-altitude economy and other hot trends).
Workflow
- Obtain Basic Data: Query
AShareLiveQuoteto get market cap, current price, and turnover rate. - Obtain Technical Indicators: Query
StockQuoteTechIndexto get MA, MACD, KDJ, BOLL, and support/resistance values. - Obtain Range Data: Query
StockRangeQuotation(last 20 days/60 days) to confirm highs/lows and trend. - Comprehensive Diagnosis:
- Determine trend direction (bullish/bearish/consolidating).
- Evaluate the health of volume-price relationship.
- Confirm the current stock price's position within the support/resistance network.
- Provide differentiated interpretation based on market cap characteristics.
- Generate Report: Output structured diagnostic results.
Report Output Template
# [股票名称] 深度技术诊断报告
## 一、 趋势研判:[强势上涨/震荡整理/弱势下跌]
* **均线形态**:[描述排列情况,如多头排列/空头压制]
* **多周期共振**:日线与周线趋势 [一致/背离]
* **趋势评分**:[强/中/弱]
## 二、 量价健康度诊断
* **量价特征**:[放量/缩量] [上涨/下跌],说明 [资金意图]
* **换手率分析**:当前换手率 [数值]%,结合 [大盘/小盘] 特征,属于 [冷清/正常/活跃/过热] 状态
## 三、 关键交易区间 (支撑与压力)
| 类型 | 关键价位 | 说明 |
| :--- | :--- | :--- |
| **强压力** | [数值] | [如:前期高点/布林上轨] |
| **短线压力** | [数值] | [如:MA10/缺口] |
| **现价** | [数值] | 当前交易位置 |
| **短线支撑** | [数值] | [如:MA20/筹码密集区] |
| **强支撑** | [数值] | [如:MA60/前期低点] |
## 四、 技术指标信号
* **MACD**:[金叉/死叉/背离状态]
* **KDJ/RSI**:[超买/超卖/中性]
* **BOLL**:[开口/收口/触轨]
## 五、 综合结论
* **走势强弱**:[一句话总结]
* **操作建议**:[基于技术面的客观建议,如“回踩支撑不破可低吸”或“跌破支撑需止损”]
> **风险提示**:技术分析具有滞后性,需结合市场环境和基本面综合判断。