ito-market-intelligence

Itô Market Intelligence

Use this skill when a user wants prediction-market context, event discovery, venue comparison, basket theme exploration, or an Itô API-backed market brief.

Use public sources by default. Any Itô-backed data call requires the user to explicitly request Itô data and requires a scoped ITO_API_KEY. Never print, persist, or ask the user to paste a key into chat.

Guardrails

Do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice.
Do not place, cancel, route, or simulate live orders.
Do not infer the user's financial situation unless they provide it.
Treat Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub, and web data as source inputs, not as truth by themselves.
Separate facts, market-implied signals, and your interpretation.
Never claim a price, volume, liquidity value, timestamp, venue rule, or news event that is absent from a cited response or source.
Treat every remote response as a snapshot. Show its retrieval time, source URL, and source-provided update time when available. Call data stale or unknown rather than silently treating it as current.

Workflow

Clarify the market theme, venue, geography, and time horizon.
Gather public market data from venue docs/APIs or source-grounded research. Cite the exact source URL next to each material claim and distinguish the publication/update time from the retrieval time.
If the user explicitly asks for Itô data, run the bundled read-only client:
```
node scripts/ito-market-intelligence.js --json search-markets --platform all --limit 25
```
The client reads ITO_API_KEY from the environment, sends it only to the configured Itô HTTPS origin, never logs it, and permits only documented GET endpoints. Do not run it merely because a key exists.
Normalize event, underlier, liquidity, fee, resolution, and data-latency differences across venues.
Produce a decision brief:
- market/event summary
- available venues and underliers
- liquidity and data-quality caveats
- relevant news/source context
- open questions before any user action

Authentication and recovery

Market-data API keys are separate from the Itô compute CLI's device login. Do not run ito login, ecc ito login, or open a browser for this skill: those credentials are not a documented substitute for a baskets:read or markets:read API key. Return control to the originating agent after stating the missing scope and operator-driven access requirement.
On AUTH_MISSING, request a scoped key through the user's established Itô access channel without collecting it in chat. On AUTH_REJECTED, say the key may be expired, revoked, or missing the required read scope.
On RATE_LIMITED, respect retry_after_seconds; do not loop automatically. On TIMEOUT or UPSTREAM_ERROR, preserve prior cited facts, label the live snapshot unavailable, and offer a bounded retry. Never replace failed live data with invented values.
ITO_MARKET_API_URL may override the API origin for deterministic local tests. In normal use keep the default https://itomarkets.com/api/v1.

Useful Skill Chains

Use deep-research or exa-search for source discovery.
Use x-api for public social signal discovery when X access is configured.
Use market-research for market sizing, competitors, or business use cases.
Use prediction-market-risk-review before any workflow touches user capital, portfolio data, or execution-capable credentials.

Output Contract

Default to a compact brief containing retrieved_at, source links, source-provided timestamps, freshness caveats, facts, market-implied signals, interpretation, and actionable open questions. End with:

This is market intelligence, not investment or trading advice.

If access is missing, say:

Itô live basket/API data requires gated access. Request an ITO_API_KEY before
using Itô-backed reads.